Worrying California Coronavirus Sign – Transmission Rate Creep Up


SACRAMENTO – Gov. Gavin Newsom warned on Monday that rates of transmission of coronaviruses are creeping back into the state’s most populous areas, with new cases seen in California in recent weeks threatening to decline.

Effective reproduction numbers – which represent the average number of people to whom each infected person spreads coronavirus – are at or above 1 in the Bay Area and Southern California, Newsom said, adding that the number of new cases will soon be there again. Can begin.

Newscom said during a news conference, “While it is true that we have seen a three-fold decrease in total cases since our peak in July. We are seeing early signs that it is decreasing.” They are beginning to plateau As it relates to total new cases. ”

Much of California is still slowly emerging from a second shutdown in the summer, as Newsom noted bars, indoor dining, gyms, houses of worship, hair salons and many other newly-resumed businesses in Memorial Day Surge in coronovirus cases Closed again after.

By July, the average number of daily new infections reached more than 10,000. It has fallen to 3,367 compared to the previous week, Newsome said on Monday, with less than 3% of tests coming positive statewide.

But under a new tearing plan unveiled last month by Newsome, counties have begun with lower rates of the virus to allow those areas to operate again if their transmission for the third time. If the yoga turns out to be bad, they may be forced to shutter for the third time. .

In the wider Bay Area – San Francisco, Alameda, Marin, Contra Costa, Solano, Sonoma, Napa, San Mateo, Santa Clara and Santa Cruz counties – effective breeding numbers have decreased from 0.9 to 0.95 a month earlier.

At the bottom of Southern California – encompassing the Imperial, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino and San Diego counties – the number is 0.97, and it reaches 1.02 for the upper region of Southern California: Cairn, Los Angeles, San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara and Ventura counties.

A fertility rate of 1 means that each person will infect each other, and an outbreak of a disease will neither increase nor decline. To slow the spread, the rate needs to be below 1.

State health officials have expressed concern that an increase in coronovirus cases associated with Labor Day celebrations could lead to an 89% increase in hospitals next month.

“It’s again what science predicted if we go back to our original form,” Newsom said. “If we are not vigilant, if we are not vigilant, if we are not wearing our masks, if we are not practicing social disturbances, physical disturbances and hand washing and hygiene, then these numbers may start back. ”

Alexey Koseff is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. Email: [email protected] Twitter: @akoseff