The notion that the 49ers could not hold quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo for greater than the stability of the season appears ludicrous on the floor, for a few causes. First, they gave up a second-round decide to get him. Second, they’ve lavished enough reward on Garoppolo each publicly and privately to create the impression that he’s certainly the man for 2018 and past.
But there’s a extra refined dance that can unfold over the following a number of months, arising from the dulcet tones of the franchise tag and the free-agency market. If the 49ers make it too clear that they intend to maintain Garoppolo, their solely possibility could also be to make use of the franchise tag on a year-to-year foundation, like Kirk Cousins has completed in Washington. For that motive, it’s no shock that ESPN’s Adam Schefter stories that the commerce for Garoppolo doesn’t imply the 49ers positively will signal him to a long-term deal.
Absent a long-term deal, it will price roughly $23 million to maintain Garoppolo for 2017 underneath the franchise tag. By rule, that $23 million would turn into $27.6 million in 2018. That’s $50.6 million that Garoppolo ought to need, totally badured at signing, to do a long-term deal in San Francisco, if the long-term deal is predicated on the tag. Absent that form of funding, Garoppolo ought to merely go for the year-to-year strategy — particularly for the reason that franchise tender would spike to greater than $39 million in 2020.
The 49ers gained’t wish to do a long-term take care of the franchise tag as the place to begin. To try this, they’ll have to influence Garoppolo to base his expectations on market worth as an alternative. Which would require the 49ers to persuade Garoppolo that the 49ers gained’t use the franchise tag. Which arguably makes Schefter’s report step one in promoting this actuality to agent Don Yee.
The subsequent step possible can be a Sunday splash report or two later this 12 months that the 49ers should still pursue Kirk Cousins in free company. This would permit the 49ers to leverage Garoppolo in opposition to Cousins and Cousins in opposition to Garoppolo within the hopes of getting considered one of them for lower than what it will price to get Cousins signed with out Garoppolo in hand or to get Garoppolo signed with out the potential of including Cousins.
Of course, the 49ers must make their resolution earlier than the deadline for making use of the franchise tag, which comes two weeks earlier than the beginning of free company. Which signifies that they’ll have to know what Cousins would need from the 49ers to signal there. Which signifies that they’ll must tamper with Cousins, in some unspecified time in the future. (It’s OK; all people does it.)
The fly within the ointment for the 49ers could possibly be a choice by Washington to tag Cousins for a 3rd time, after San Francisco has a wink-nod deal in place with Cousins and decides to not tag Garoppolo. If that occurs, nevertheless, the 49ers would nonetheless be capable to signal Garoppolo earlier than he hits the market, probably for lower than a deal that makes use of the tag as the place to begin.
The larger danger could be using the transition tag by Washington and a choice to match any provide Cousins will get. Under that situation, the 49ers must be keen and in a position to make Cousins and provide through a construction that Washington couldn’t or wouldn’t match. Otherwise, they may find yourself with out both man.
However it performs out, it’s potential (as identified right here on Monday evening) that Garoppolo is merely a short-term rental with an possibility to purchase, costing the 49ers a second-round decide for 2018 however with the prospect of getting a third-round decide in 2019 through the compensatory draft, in the event that they finally don’t hold Garoppolo round. Given the significance of getting a franchise quarterback, a one-round downgrade (extra like two rounds, for the reason that value is a excessive second-rounder in 2018 for a low third-rounder in 2019) within the draft arguably is price it to have the prospect to fall in love with Garoppolo earlier than having to determine whether or not to marry him.