Why coronovirus numbers are likely to worsen




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Poll of the week: A new Gallup poll found that just 49% of Americans say they would shelter it if public health officials recommended it because of a coronovirus outbreak.

This is much lower than the 67% who said so during the Gallup Poll taken in late March and early April.

What is the matter: The election caused an outbreak of coronavirus in the news reshuffle during the last month. But just because the media is not covering the epidemic at the same level, it does not mean that it has gone away.

In fact, we are seeing some of the worst coronovirus numbers in a long time, and, at the beginning of this year, it is not at all clear that the public has the will to slow the rate of infection.

A look at the numbers tells the story. Right now, the virus is spreading very much in every state. As of this writing, a CNN analysis of data from Johns Hopkins University indicated that the number of coronovirus cases in every state, excluding Georgia, compared to the previous week. A New York Times examination of the data shows that in more than 90% of states, there were at least 15 new cases per 100,000 people in the past week.

Horrifically, there are more daily new coronovirus cases than at any point in the epidemic.

Even states that were postponed as success stories have seen backsliding. Take New York State, which has one of the most comprehensive testing programs in the country. On 1 September, 0.8% of trials returned to the daily, 7-day average and 14-day average. This week, the daily hit above 3% on at least one day, while the 7-day and 14-day averages rose above 2%. This is a huge increase.

This increased positivity rate also came when the number of tests increased compared to two months earlier, which should have reduced the positivity rate if the number of cases remained constant.

In fact, it is not just cases and trials that are at the national level. According to the Times, the number of deaths and hospitals is over 33%.

We are, to put it mildly, a world of trouble.

Yet it does not appear that the American public or voters are anywhere near the same temper that we did in April as to what can be done to contain the virus.

Not that the majority of Americans are unwilling to say that they are “very likely” to shelter in place. This is that they are not currently separated. A clear majority (62%) said they were only partially isolated or not isolated in Gallup’s late October vote. The percentage was half in April (30%).

In an Axios / Ipsos poll conducted in late October, 53% admitted that they did not always maintain a distance of at least 6 feet from other people when they moved out of their home. It was one of the highest number of epidemics. Back in April, the percentage said they were not keeping a distance of at least 6 feet, never rising above 34%.

And while 46% of Americans said they had not yet started planning holidays, people who celebrate with their family and people living near them (30%) and those outside this select group The plans are divided equally between them. %).

In other words, there seems to be a real chance that the holidays can become a chance for coronaviruses to spread easily because people are going to gather in close quarters with people they don’t live with. (Public health officials say how these small gatherings are a lot of broadcasts.)

Perhaps the most worrying thing is that these poll numbers are coming against the backdrop of Americans who feel that the country is on the wrong track of how we are handling the virus.

Most (61%) told Gallup that coronovirus conditions were worsening. A mere 23% think it is getting better, one of the lowest percentages of the epidemic so far.

Despite Americans knowing that we are on the wrong trajectory, it has not yet caused a change in habit that may be necessary to reverse the latest wave of cases.

Unless the Americans change their tune quickly, things can go awry in relation to the virus.

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