‘What do we do?’: Trump bumps Miami Dems


Ottola told POLITICO that Trump is proving relatively popular with Latino in the county because he is “synonymous with prosperity and success.” We are tired of politicians who say the right thing and do the wrong thing. And we have changed whoever speaks the wrong thing; But does the right thing. “

Carlos Odio, who heads Equis Labs, a Democratic Latina research firm, said he learned Ottola originally in a group studying Hispanic voters, where one participant brought his conservative message.

Odio calculated this summer that Trump, who had lost Cuban-American support in 2016 relative to other Republicans, had since lost so much ground that, if the 2016 election were held under current circumstances, he added 90,000 Net vote on Clinton for its total statewide margin of 112,911.

“Part of it is part of Trump coming back,” Odio said. “The second part is the growth of these recent arrivals. That part is Ottola. If it was not present, I do not know that you would see the swing in the same way. “

In a recent Florida statewide survey, Odio found that Biden had made up some lost ground with Cuban-Americans. But, relative to Clinton in 2016, she was still leaving her margins behind, partly a function of being relatively unknown with a large portion of Florida’s broad, dynamic Hispanic community in which people with roots throughout Latin America Includes, however, voters with roots in Cuba and Puerto Rico account for more than half of Latino’s vote in the state.

In a poll of Miami-Dad voters by Bendixen & Amandi International released on Tuesday for The Miami Herald, Biden gave Trump a 17-point lead, a margin that gives Democrats a county-wide shave that Clinton has nearly 30 Proceeded by digits. Pollster Fernand Amandi found that Trump was winning Cuban American voters by 68–30 percent, while Biden was said to be non-Cuban Hispanic 58–32 percent.

In a Democratic poll conducted in the county by veteran pollster Tom Alden and shared with Politico, Biden with non-Cuban Hispanics 62-32 percent and Cuban Americans 61-33 percent, according to a memo from ULTO. Won better than

Amandi, whose firm was a key adviser to Obama’s Hispanic voter research and messaging in 2008 and 2012, said it was a warning sign for Biden.

“There is no way for Trump to win in Miami-Dad, but there is a way to manage the Miami-Dad margin, which may allow Trump to move to Florida by reducing his losses,” Amandi said , Said Biden, that Clinton took an advantage. ‘t: He’s pulling more white voters elsewhere in the state, and they are the supremacy of Florida voters.

“If Biden overperforms with white voters in Florida, it doesn’t matter how much better they perform with Hispanic voters,” Amandi said.

Evelyn Perez-Verdia, a Democratic political consultant and Spanish-language media commentator in South Florida, pitted Biden’s Latino voters on “a massive disinfection campaign in Spanish in Florida.”

“I get a WhatsApp video from every single person I’m calling a Democrat Socialist,” she said. “And they go to the dark side of how Democrats support things like ISIS. This is completely insane. They are using fear and unfortunately, fear can work. “

The socialism attack, which the Florida Democrats say they ignored in their risk in the 2018 elections, is particularly salty among Cuban-Americans, but is used to persuade voters from roots in Venezuela, Colombia and Nicaragua .

This is an important message point in two Florida state Senate races, two South Florida congressional contests to unify Democratic incumbents and the county mayor’s race. Republican adviser David Custin, who is advising the race for a competitive Miami-Dade mayor, said Democrats are deluding themselves when it comes to how far their party has gone and they have no idea of ​​Hispanic voters in the state How far are we from this

“Look at what happened to the Democratic Party: You had a Kennedy who lost just one Democratic primary in Massachusetts because he was not liberal enough,” Kastine said. “The Democratic Party Has Changed.”

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