In the first presidential debate of the 2020 general election, President Donald Trump attempted to reassure viewers about his Kovid-19 response that he was ready to deliver a vaccine: “We have all the military installed. Logically, they are all set up. We have our army that distributes soldiers, and they can do 200,000 in a day. They are going to give vaccines. “
In fact, this would be the palette amount of the vaccine distribution. Vaccination across the country will take more than 1,650 days, at a rate of 200,000 vaccinations a day. If all require two doses, which can be the case with first generation vaccines, it will take more than nine years.
Presumably, Trump was saying that the military would play a complementary role to other efforts, including hospitals, family physicians, pharmacies, and others dispensing vaccines with the military. But if the military piece is indeed the highlight of Trump’s plan, the math shows that it is so low that no one should be convinced.
Trump also claimed that the US would have a vaccine in the coming weeks, echoing previous comments that a vaccine would be ready in October. In the past, he also claimed that the vaccine would be available to everyone quickly – which he called “full delivery”. He reiterated last night that, “Well, we’re going to give it up immediately.”
If you talk to experts, including anything including the Trump administration, they disagree with Trump’s assessment across the board. It is possible, even likely, that we will receive a vaccine by the end of the year, but October is far away, with November or December running, with much greater potential for the conclusion of the required tests.
Even once a vaccine is approved by federal regulators and made available, supply will be limited. And the delivery process for first generation vaccines will be extremely difficult and slow. (One of the major challenges: One of the leading vaccine candidates in the US should be kept at a temperature as low as -94 degrees Fahrenheit, which requires freezing equipment that some advanced facilities don’t even have.)
Many experts therefore believe that the vaccination process may go well into 2021 – and potentially 2022 or 2023. This means that the Kovid-19 pandemic may be with us for years, even if we receive a vaccine, and a significant problem may persist. Until the next round of elections.
Ashish Jha, dean of Brown University School of Public Health, said “Kovid-19” will continue to be an issue in the next midterm. “It’s not going away.”
It would be one thing if Trump did something to convince the American public that he had epidemic control. It may have given him some confidence in how he and his administration would roll out a vaccine.
But Trump, on the contrary, repeatedly denied his response to coronovirus, saying: He has intentionally removed the epidemic, demanding that states reopen quickly, solve problems with testing and Traced local and state governments to more limited resources than the federal government, undercover. , And tried to politicize public health institutions instead of leading the response to science.
As a result, there have been more than 200,000 deaths from Kovid-19 in the US – by far the most recorded deaths in the world. While controlling the population, the US did not have the highest Kovid-19 death rate, but it ranked among the top 20 percent of developed countries, and seven times the average developed country’s death rate. If the US has the same Kovid-19 death rate as Canada, more than 120,000 Americans are likely to survive today.
However, Trump has repeatedly denied admitting any wrongdoing or conviction. This continued in last night’s debate, in which he tried to shift the blame: “It’s China’s fault.” It should never have happened. They prevented it from going in, but it was China’s fault. ”
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