Trump’s ‘baggage’ means he won’t be able to run in 2024, leading polling expert predicts – tech2.org

Trump’s ‘baggage’ means he won’t be able to run in 2024, leading polling expert predicts


Donald Trump’s chances of being the Republican presidential candidate again in 2024 are very slim due to the “baggage” he accumulated during his presidency, according to a political expert who correctly predicted his victory in 2016.

The claim comes from Allan Lichtman, a political historian at the American University who accurately scored the outcome of seven of the eight American elections in the past 30 years.

“He has over $ 400 million in overdue loans. His brand is failing. His businesses are failing. He has a huge IRS audit. He is no longer in office. He has lost his Twitter,” Lichtman told Miami Herald Newspaper.

“That’s a lot of baggage for someone to run for president.”

Lichtman, a celebrated political analyst and historian, has made predictions for every election since 1984. The only outcome he was wrong was in 2000, when his forecast of an Al Gore victory was narrowly inaccurate.

Mr. Lichtman says his predictions are based on a series of “13 keys,” or questions he uses to analyze whether a candidate will win a presidential election, which he revealed in detail in his recent book, Predicting the Next President.

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