WASHINGTON – As election day ticks the clock, President Donald Trump is spending precious time in Nevada this weekend – a state he lost in 2016, but his campaign is a backup for re-election Sees as an important part of the path, the current electoral prospects are shrinking in the states they narrowly won that year.
Trump was to hold a high-dollar fundraiser in Las Vegas and organize rallies in Las Vegas and Reno. Both sets about the challenges of planning this cycle include: funders come in the midst of homestretch money concerns, while public events were still running late in the week from the epidemic that drew up similar plans this year The reasons were related challenges.
The campaign led to a final change in the event’s locations, which were planned in airport hangars in Reno and Las Vegas, due to the state’s coronovirus restrictions banning the mob of more than 50 people.
Trump will now hold a rally for Reno at his small Las Vegas event at a small airport in Minden and a nearby manufacturing plant; Other events are still expected to exceed the state’s attendance limit. The campaign has also added a stop on Monday in Arizona, where it is holding a Latino for a Trump roundtable event at a Phoenix resort.
According to a Republican official, the president was expected to raise $ 18 million between a fundraiser in D.C. on Saturday and Sunday’s event in Las Vegas.
Trump lost Nevada’s six electoral votes in 2016 to Hillary Clinton by just over 2 percentage points, and Democrats won nearly every statewide victory during the mid-2018 election; A new New York Times / Sienna poll gave Democratic candidate Joe Biden a 4-point advantage over Trump in the state, making it one of the closest contests in the nation.
While Trump is facing headwinds in Nevada, according to Real Trump Politics Polling Average, his campaign is choosing to overtake Biden in at least six states he won in 2016.
Should he lose those two or three states without adding any others, he would fail to win re-election. The campaign is looking outside the 2016 map for a path to victory; Trump officials say they see Nevada, along with Minnesota and New Hampshire, as possible alternative routes.
Campaign advisers say Nevada has many favorable demographics who believe they can work to Trump’s advantage. The state has a large white working-class population, a group Trump has traditionally voted well. His campaign also points to increased support among Hispanic voters who make up more than a quarter of Nevada’s population.
“The blue wave was widespread here in midterm elections,” said Jeremy Gelman, assistant professor of political science at the University of Nevada in Reno. Biden is at some points, but I think the Trump campaign and maybe the Biden campaign. Watch the race tighten a bit. “
Gelman said Trump’s popularity among rural white voters in Nevada is extremely strong, he is struggling with suburban Las Vegas voters. Gelman said Trump would also have to contend with the powerful Pak Employees Union, which is pushing for its members to be quickly mailed to their ballots.
Trump’s campaign to block a new state law is battling in court that will send mail-in ballots to all active Nevada voters amid the coronovirus epidemic. Gelman said Democrats outnumber Republicans in the state, the higher the chances of Democrats winning.
“If Democrats turn out to vote, it’s almost impossible for Republicans to win,” he said.
Trump’s campaign was investing heavily in Nevada – spending $ 2.2 million in June and July on advertisements there – but stopped spending there in August when the campaign said it shifted its advertising focus to early-voting states was doing. Meanwhile, the Biden campaign began spending more than $ 3 million on advertisements there since late July.
The Trump campaign was scheduled to return to the air in Nevada this week, but the ad pushed back to begin on September 15. 15. Nevertheless, the campaign plans to spend $ 5.6 million on advertisements in the state during the campaign, while according to statistics from Advertising Analytics, Biden plans to spend $ 3 million.
A Republican strategist close to the campaign said he had long written off Nevada, but believed the state’s coronovirus ban, which includes bars and a masked mandate, could move voters to Trump. The strategist said Nevada’s service-based economy has also become particularly difficult, with the state’s unemployment rate at 14 percent and the economy one of Trump’s strong selling points.
“Nevada, I’ve always written it, thought it was long gone,” the strategist said. “I think Nevada is a stretch, but I don’t have your time in Colorado buckets’ now.”