Home / U.S. / Trump embraces his instincts in a key global moment

Trump embraces his instincts in a key global moment



A month of turmoil, personnel purges and abrupt policy changes by a president determined more than ever to follow his impulses has left the White House in a dangerous moment of global transition.

By becoming faithful to its anti-kidnapping exterior, the president is implementing the purest form of Trumpism he has tried so far.

However, his experiment with bowel-level governance carries significant risks of unpredictable outcomes, before trials such as his summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un or work to create a post-ISIS settlement in Syria.

While performing his symphony of chaos at home, the President lost seven people within his administration or inner circle in just one month, some of whom were fired by tweet. [19659005] He has exchanged restrictive influences such as Secretary of State Rex Tillerson or traditionalists such as national security adviser HR McMaster with replacements such as Mike Pompeo and John Bolton who reflect their own aggressiveness on stincts or who lavished it on television.

But it is their tendency to do politics on an ad hoc basis, on issues on which millions of lives could depend, which may represent Trump's most significant turn.

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For example, on Thursday, Trump declared that the USA. UU they will leave Syria "very soon", provoking a day of commotion and contradictions within their own national security team.

"We are still trying to understand what he meant about Syria yesterday," a senior administration official told CNN's Jim Acosta on Friday.

The episode was a fitting metaphor for Trump's government style. Normally, a president would only make such statements after weeks of briefings and meetings, after carefully studying policy documents that provide a deep understanding of the battlefield and a set of options on a difficult topic.

But with Trump, the process is reversed: instinct and impulse drive their actions, after an apparent foresight or evaluation of the unpleasant consequences that usually accompany any serious presidential decision.

Its disruptive tendency was visible again on Sunday, when many Americans observed Easter or Easter, festivals of renewal and liberation. Trump was in a tear on Twitter, accusing Mexicans of not stopping undocumented immigrants crossing the southern border of the US. UU And he warned that he could kill a renegotiation of NAFTA if he did not do more.

Reflective decisions

It's a pattern that has been repeated over and over again in recent weeks, from Trump's sudden reflex decision to come face to face with Kim, to his demand for tariffs on steel and aluminum imports that shook US allies UU

In each case, Trump's sudden movement caused his aides to struggle to keep up and understand his strategy, as it was. It is also a style of government that puts nerves at home and brings considerable risks, however Trump's vote may be true as a candidate to keep everyone guessing.

Trump's sudden nomination last week from his personal White House physician Ronny Jackson to direct the Veterans Affairs Administration adjusted to the trend, showing a president more interested in the news and affinity with a candidate than in the concern for politics in depth.

Jackson may have impressed Trump with his brave press conference for the President's health, and is loved by many current and former White House officials, but has no experience in running a major organization and the VA is one of the most expansive and problematic medical bureaucracies in the world.

The gaps outside Trump's political circle are reflected in his legal war council, after the recent departure of his lawyer John Dowd and a fight to attract a front-line lawyer to strengthen his team. [1 9659002] While Robert Mueller delves deeper into his business and political affairs, Trump's apparent desire to testify personally before the special lawyer reflects his confidence in his own instincts and his impatience for the council despite the risks, reflecting his newfound focus of national and international policy.

And those who fear that the President's mood and arrogance will drive his actions more and more are worried that the departure of one of his most trusted friends and collaborators, Hope Hicks, could make him even more volatile.

Programmer in chief

The circus that surrounds Trump has often been compared to a reality show.

But increasingly, the administration looks like a cable television channel, with Trump as the main programmer and presenter, making news, breaking it and abandoning a traditional policy process for a body of conservative commentators.

Bolton spent months auditioning for his new role on Fox News. And his new top economic adviser Larry Kudlow has been an open voice for CNBC for years.

Such a show infuriates critics who see the government as a serious business, full of risks and defined by proven processes by generations of bureaucrats and the tradition of the west wing. 19659002] But there is a chasm between the political class in Washington and the Trump supporters.

"This whole idea that President Trump is somehow chaotic and unique because he has his own strong point of view and is trying to push his administration in the way he sees fit, is really the way where presidents operate, "Matt Schlapp, president of the American Conservative Union, told Fox News on Sunday.

With the economy roaring, with unemployment below 5%, after the passage of a large tax reduction and with his cabinet lieutenants dismantling the Obama era regulations despite the scandals that revolve around him , Trump's base remains solid, giving it latitude for its currently unorthodox approach. [19659002] Trump demonstrated how well he understands this during a demonstration in Ohio on Thursday, embracing a revival of ABC's "Roseanne," claiming that the success of the program is rooted in giving voice to working-class white families who are propelling his movement . [19659007] Trump touts Roseanne Barr's ratings after the successful premiere of the series "src-mini =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/131203020105-roseanne-barr-roast-2012-small-169 .jpg "src-xsmall =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/131203020105-roseanne-barr-roast-2012-medium-plus-169.jpg "src-small =" http: // cdn .cnn.com / cnnnext / dam / assets / 131203020105-roseanne-barr-roast-2012-large-169.jpg "src-medium =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/131203020105-roseanne- barr-roast-2012-exlarge-169.jpg "src-large =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/131203020105-roseanne-barr-roast-2012-super-169.jpg "src-full16x9 = "// cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/131203020105-roseanne-barr-roast-2012-full-169.jpg" src-mini1x1 = "// cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets /131203020105-roseanne-barr-roast-2012-small-11.jpg "data-demand-load =" not-loaded "data-eq-pts =" mini: 0, xsmall: 221, small: 308, medium: 461 , large: 781 "/>

"It was for us. They have not discovered it, the false news has not yet discovered it, "Trump said during a speech in Ohio.

However, the increasingly improvised and unpredictable approach that worked for Trump as a candidate and is coming to define the administration faces a test at a time when chaos in Washington could command a high price.

So far, Trump has been spared a major foreign policy crisis or an economic crisis that puts his ability to lead with coherence, speed, organization and a form that fosters national unity along the line.

But history, from the Cuban missile crisis to the most recent financial crisis, has shown that sometimes only a decisive presidential leadership, rooted in the domination of politics, cool head and the ability to command the functioning of the US government and national resources can avert disaster.

A global economic shock a massive natural disaster, a mass terrorist attack of victims, a sudden crisis with China or an additional deterioration in post-Cold War relations with Russia could trigger such a moment.

Trump has rarely shown so far that he would be up to that task.

For example, there is no indication yet that you have a clear strategy for your conversations with Kim: the most important meeting between a US president. UU and a foreign leader for decades. The cost of a failed summit could lead to a landslide in a disastrous war that could kill hundreds of thousands.

Trump's reflexive warning that the United States will soon leave Syria would theoretically boost American adversaries in the region, including Russia and Iran, and open the kind of vacuum that led to the emergence of ISIS in Iraq, if it took finished.

Rewriting the Rules

Some Washington veterans believe that Trump's scattered approach will surely undermine his long-term presidency – although he has thrived by rewriting all the rules of the campaign.

"To be successful in long-term policy when you govern, you must have a strategy and an agenda, and you" What Trump does is try to generate interest instead of building a long-term message, "he said. Joe Lockhart, former White House spokesman for Bill Clinton

] "It seems chaotic, he loves that. I do not think that will prepare him for the long term and re-election, I do not think he really understands how different 2020 will be from 2016, "Lockhart told CNN's Ana Cabrera on Friday.

Trump's style government, in that he is the dominant figure, dictating events, making calls from the gut, surrounded by acolytes and family members, recalls the small leadership cell at the top of the Trump organization.

In fact, the president's friends are saying he does not need to replace Hicks as communications director or John Kelly as chief of staff if he finally decides to leave or is fired, CNN's Kevin Liptak reported last week.

However, such fluid structures have been tried before and have failed, especially in the presidencies of Carter and Ford when they were overwhelmed by the agglomeration of events and problems in the west wing.

"You can not run the White House in the same way. to which runs the 26th floor of Trump Tower, "Chris Whipple, author of" The Gakeekeepers, "a book that argues that the White House's strong chiefs of staff are vital to a functioning presidency, told CNN the Saturday.


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