Trump and Biden battle ground tied in Florida


WASHINGTON – President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden have been deadlocked on a Florida battleground eight days before the election, with a new BBC with postal ballots sent to state voters later this month According to the News / Marriage Poll.

Both Trump and Biden have the support of 48 percent of potential voters, with the president among Latino in the state, and Biden doing better with seniors than Hillary Clinton.

In the broad universe of all registered voters, it is Trump 48 percent, Biden 47 percent.

In addition, the poll shows which candidates Trump would better handle the economy, while Biden has an advantage over coronovirus and race relations.

“It’s not uncommon for Florida to be close,” says Lee Moringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.

Trump won it by just over 1 percentage point four years ago.

And Moringoff explains the election’s implication of the state’s 29 electoral votes: “If Trump loses Florida, it’s over. If Trump wins, the story of the night will still have to be told,” Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin Looking at the remaining battlegrounds of.

Biden’s biggest gains in tied Florida races are among black potential voters (he leads them from 83 percent to 11 percent), women (57 percent to 40 percent) and independents (51 percent to 40 percent).

Trump, meanwhile, leads men (58 percent to 38 percent), white voters (56 percent to 41 percent) and whites without a degree from colleges (63 percent to 35 percent).

Yet in a crucial break four years ago, Trump presumably held a narrow lead over Biden among Latino voters, 50 percent to 46 percent – prominently among Latino of Cuban descent with Trump, and others with Biden. Slightly ahead of all Latino. state. (The Cuban-versus-non-Cuban Latino divide in the poll is too small to report actual numbers.)

According to an exit poll, in the 2016 race, Hillary Clinton ranked Trump among the best among Florida Latinos at 62 percent to 35 percent.

But in another break from 2016, Biden is barely 49 percent to 48 percent ahead among seniors in the state.

Four years ago, Trump won Florida seniors from 57 percent to 40 percent, according to exit polls.

Trump’s leadership on the economy; Proceed on Coronovirus and Ethnic Relations

As national elections also show, Florida voters give Trump an advantage over the economy, with 53 percent of likely voters in the state saying the president would handle the issue better, versus 40 percent who think Biden would.

But Biden tends to deal with coronoviruses (49 percent to 40 percent) and race relations (51 percent to 37 percent).

Trump has a 3-point lead at which candidates better handle crime, 48 percent to 45 percent.

And when asked about recent police actions against George Floyd in Minnesota and Jacob Blake in Wisconsin – as well as protests and violence and destruction – 44 percent of potential voters say they are more concerned about police actions , While 43 percent are more concerned about the protest.

Trump has a job rating of 47 percent in Florida

Forty-seven percent of potential voters in the Sunshine State approved President Trump’s job performance, while 48 percent disapproved. (Among the broad group of registered voters, it is 46 percent, 48 percent is rejected.)

Similarly, 47 percent of potential voters have a favorable perception of Trump, versus 50 percent who have an adverse effect (-3).

Biden’s fav / unfav rating is 46 percent favorable, 49 percent unfavorable (-3).

Republican Florida government by vote. Ron DeSantis’ job rating is 46 percent approved, 44 percent unacceptable.

What does the poll sample look like

As Marist works to ensure that hard-to-reach voters are included in its sample, 19 percent of the likely voters polled come from the North / Pondel area of ​​the state; Another 19 percent are from Orlando and the Central Coast; 16 percent are from the Tampa area; 19 percent are from the central part of the state; And 27 percent are from the Miami and Florida Keys areas.

Thirty-five percent of voters identify as Republican, 32 percent are Democrats, and 31 percent are independents.

And 42 percent of all potential voters receive college degrees, while whites with college degrees make up 26 percent of the potential voter sample.

Florida’s NBC News / Marist poll was conducted – by cell phone and landline interviews – from August 31 to 6 of 766 potential voters, with a margin of error of plus-minus 4.5 percentage points.

The poll also interviewed 1,047 registered voters (plus-minus 3.9 percentage points) and 1,146 (plus-minus 3.7 percentage points).