Flood watches have been in effect for areas of Florida’s west coast, including Tampa, Bradenton, Port Charlotte and Fort Myers, since Sunday. These areas are expected to receive 2 to 4 inches of rain over the weekend.
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Depression 19 is expected to become a tropical tropical name in the Gulf of Mexico today. The next name on the list is Sally.
Most forecasting models have the potential to move toward the northern Gulf Coast, and likely landslides somewhere between New Orleans and Panama City by Monday or Tuesday, although if the track drifts westward or slows down, So landfall may be closed by Wednesday.
Once it reaches that area of the Gulf Coast, the steering pattern breaks and the system approaches the coast.
Whether the coastline is offshore before land harvesting or in terms of onshore rainfall will not make much difference. In either case, significant flooding is possible due to slow moving along the Gulf Coast.
At the moment, there is a possibility of widespread rainfall accumulation of 4 to 6 inches. However, there will be isolated areas right next to the coast that can cause more than a foot of rain.
Already an active season
Several storms broke the oldest record to date, including Cristobal, whose record was the earliest “C” hurricane in history, and Hanna was the earliest “H” hurricane. All three named storms (Arthur, Bertha and Dolly) set the record for their respective letter to be the earliest named storms.
The system that crosses over Florida is one of several systems in the Atlantic. NHC is currently looking at six regions: 2 tropical storms, 1 tropical depression, and 3 tropical disturbances. Thursday marked the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season.
Tropical Storm Paulette is forecast to be strong today in a hurricane. Paulette is forecast to track toward Bermuda and could potentially make a landslide as a Category 2 hurricane on Monday morning. A hurricane watch is in effect for Bermuda, with storm conditions possible within 48 hours. Tropical storm conditions will begin to affect Bermuda by Sunday afternoon and storm conditions will begin from Sunday night.
Another system to watch is a wide area of low pressure southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. The system has a 90% chance of developing in the next five days. The National Hurricane Center expects a tropical depression to form within the next two days. Sally has only three names left on this year’s official list: Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred. NHC would then proceed to use the Greek alphabet.
La nina is officially here