A top scientist at the World Health Organization says that it is unlikely that the world will return to parts of normal pre-coronavirus life before 2022.
According to the South China Morning Post, Saumya Swaminathan said, “The way people are saying that you have vaccines for the whole world in January and things will start to return to normal.”
But, according to Swaminathan, this vision is a fantasy and “it does not work.” She reported that the most realistic timeline is a COVID-19 vaccine rollout in mid-2021 and that vaccination will not happen overnight, and that covering the face and wearing social disturbances will still be necessary for a while.
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In a virtual meeting organized by the United Nations Foundation, Swaminathan said, “We need 60% to 70% of the population for immunity before you see a dramatic decrease in transmission of this virus.” “We don’t even know how long these vaccines will protect – that’s another big question mark: how long does immunity last? And, it’s possible you’ll need a booster.”
This week, Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates made a similar prediction. Billionaires are helping to fund a multitude of vaccine efforts.
Speaking with New York magazine, Gates said that global immunity seemed unlikely by 2022 and that the logistical challenges surrounding delivery meant that “even if 80% of all vaccines were approved and we would have got all this capability Are, to achieve elimination, it spans 2022. ”
He said, “You hope it will not progress beyond 2022”.
It usually takes a decade to develop a viable vaccine, but efforts to produce one for novel coronaviruses have been accelerated at an unprecedented pace.
The New York Times reported that there are currently 40 vaccines in clinical trials and nine are already in 3-phase trials worldwide.
On Wednesday, the Department of Defense and federal health agencies outlined plans for a potential vaccine, including making it available to all Americans for free.
According to the Associated Press, the agencies are looking into January for a possible start to the vaccination campaign.
On Tuesday, President Trump reiterated his belief that a vaccine could arrive before Election Day. The US has the highest number of virus cases in the world, with the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center reporting 6.6 million confirmed deaths and more than 196,000 deaths.
“We are going to get a vaccine in a few weeks. It could be four weeks, it could be eight weeks… would it be before the election, could it be… we would start distributing it as soon as we received it, ”he said“ Fox & Friends . ”
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The president’s own health officials have denied such timelines – and vaccine-makers have vowed to wait for safety and effectiveness data – but the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Drs. Anthony Fauci has said that a comment by Electronic Day is at least theoretically possible.
Globally 29.6 million confirmed coronovirus cases have occurred and more than 936,000 deaths have occurred.