The first variant of Block 5 of the SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket was launched on the Launch Pad 39A for an inaugural launch that could occur as early as April 7. However, minor delays are extremely likely for the second Falcon Heavy launch attempt, and the most likely dates approach April 8-11.
With a noticeably different appearance from Falcon 9 Block 5
Above all, it must be taken into account that the probability that the actual launch date of the Falcon Heavy Flight 2 will slip does not mean that the rocket or ground support equipment (GSE) has technical or operational problems. Rather, it is simply a dose of pragmatism for a launch date that was originally approved in the range along with a static fire on March 31. In other words, SpaceX was anticipating the need of approximately seven days between the static launch and the launch, a fairly credible goal in relation to the first Falcon Heavy release flow.
Even if SpaceX completes an impeccable Falcon Heavy static fire immediately after the 6 pm EDT window opens, this would give the company's engineers and technicians less than 72 hours to activate the rocket and launch it as soon as possible. : 36 pm EDT on April 7. That process involves a lot of work, including real static fire, safely
Completing safely that job in ~ 72 hours is extremely difficult for Falcon 9, let alone for a significantly modified Falcon Heavy, preparing for the second launch attempt of the vehicle. For reference, excluding some atypical releases, the average time of Falcon 9 Block 5 between the static launch and the launch is ~ 4.7 days, while the mode is 5 days (6/10 launches). Outliers include missions such as SSO-A, DM-1 and GPS III SV01, all of which require unique care and caution for several reasons. There is a good chance that Falcon Heavy Flight 2 will improve flight 1, which took several days to complete a static fire and 13 more days before a launch attempt. Still, the rocket is very unlikely to exceed the average launch time of Falcon 9 Block 5.
All in good weather
There is likely to be a 5% chance that Falcon Heavy will be launched on April 7, even if the static fire occurs on time and shows that all systems are green. If SpaceX can not place a static fire in the window of April 4, it is likely to fall to 0%. Either way, we can expect SpaceX to provide an updated launch window or a rough estimate as early as today, especially if the static fire test is completed successfully.
Meanwhile, drone ship.
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