An analysis published in the journal Nature Medicine found that even if only 85 percent of people wore masks in public, the lives of about 96,000 people could be saved.
But without universal masking, which the study defined as 95 percent compliance, more than one hundred million lives COVID-19 could be lost, researchers at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation estimated.
The most optimistic scientists do not predict the availability of new coronovirus treatments before 2021, and a vaccine may not be widely available until early April.
This means that unless there are vaccines, masks and other non-pharmaceutical measures, such as physical disturbances are the only real ways to reduce the transmission of the virus.
The findings reveal what public health officials have been saying for months, but wearing masks is still controversial. Only 49 percent of Americans said they always wore masks in public.
Researchers acknowledge that the 95 percent mask use rate is aspirational, but noted that neighborhoods in New York have reached that limit, while states including Virginia, Florida and California have adopted 60 percent of the mask use policy.
Some governors still refuse to issue a masked mandate, as the virus is virtually uncontrolled across the country. Others are withdrawing their coronavirus restrictions, including a masked mandate.
Under the worst-case scenario, the researchers modeled, if states continued to withdraw their restrictions, there could be more than 1 million deaths nationwide by 28 February.
Last week, President TrumpDonald John Trumpiwanka Trump, Jared Kusher’s lawyer, threatened to sue the CEO of Facebook, Twitter on Times Square against the Lincoln Project, to testify in front of the Senate Judiciary Committee on 17 November. 17 Sanders hit back at Trump’s attack in ‘socialized medicine’ Questioned the effectiveness of the mask during an interview with Fox News and during their television town hall program. Trump, and other conservatives falsely suggested that the Center for Disease Control and Prevention found 85 percent of people who wear masks.
White House top health adviser Scott Atlas also tweeted that the masks are ineffective, a tweet that was eventually removed to spread misinformation.
The study painted a grim picture of the coming months. Even if every state had a physical deformity mandate, researchers said more than 500,000 people could die by March.
Implementation of measures such as school closures, restrictions on gatherings, stay-at-home orders and partial or complete closure of unprofessional businesses soon result in eight deaths per million in the state. Can modify the form, ”the researchers said.
Achieving nearly universal mask use may delay the second wave of viruses and such strict measures may be unnecessary, but Americans will have to make a choice.
“It is likely that US residents will have to choose between higher levels of mask use or risk a more rigorous and financially frequent renewed deployment [restrictions]; Or, in the absence of any remedy, one has to face the reality of a rising death, ”the study concluded.