Social distancing may remain in place until the end of 2021

Social distancing regulations of the United Kingdom may need to be in place throughout 2021 if vaccines for Chinese coronaviruses are not at least 85 percent effective, government scientists have warned.

A paper commissioned by SPI-M, a subgroup of the government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) Kawango, claimed that if vaccination does not significantly reduce the rate of transmission, Britain should receive a third wave of coronovirus Will have to face it.

Viewed by Wire, States: “Only vaccines that offer high infection-inhibitory efficacy with high uptake in the general population allow non-drug intervention without a drastic increase in deaths.”

“While the novel vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 offers a potential exit strategy for this outbreak, it is highly contingent on the vaccine’s infection-inhibiting (or transmission-blocking) action and population, both of which Vaccine programs are monitored in the UK and other countries, ”it continued.

Under the best-case scenario set by modellers at the University of Warwick, in which vaccines are able to prevent 85 percent of transmission from those vaccines, then lockdown measures will need to persist until they take effect to prevent a spike in deaths. End of May – More than a year after the first lockdown began in England.

If the vaccines provide a 60 percent drop in transmission, the lockdown measures would need to be replaced with the social disturbance regime that was taking place in September, with large gatherings still in place until the end of 2021.

Scientists told government ministers that should Boris Johnson stop the measure in mid-February, the country could see another spike of infections and a similar amount of deaths during the first wave of April in 2020.

The UK’s recently established vaccine minister, Nadim Zahavi MP, said: “We are probably four weeks away from getting that data back but this is when we should be able to plan … We will be able to see its impact in broadcast and hospital Recruiting and severe infection vaccines. “

A government spokesman said: “At this early stage of the vaccination program, scientists do not have enough data to advise on how the vaccine might affect further transmission.

“A large number of people from at-risk groups are vaccinated, we will be able to gather evidence to assess infection rates, hospitalizations and deaths. It is important to follow the national sanctions, NHS test and trace instructions and continue to isolate yourself if you are instructed to do so, even if you have a vaccine. “

Boris Johnson’s government has been given mixed messages when the measures for the lockdown will finally be lifted, with some estimates pointing to late spring or early summer.

Last week, Breitbart London reported that the government had “quietly” extended the lockdown powers of local councils to July.

In response to the expansion of lockdown powers, London mayoral candidate David Kurtain said: “The Johnson regime has changed the law again to extend lockdown powers on 17 July.” The unnecessary destruction of our civil liberties and economy will not end until the people end it. I support the great reunion. “

Follow Kurt Jindulka on Twitter here @Kurtzindulka

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