Second wave of virus, slow rate of infection


On August 25, 2020, tourists watch a dolphin show at Madrid Zoo Aquarium Park in Madrid, Spain, placing a bench as a safety distance.

Miguel Pereira | Getty Image News | Getty Images

There is a reason for cautious optimism in some European countries battling the second wave of the coronavirus epidemic, as the rate of new infections daily begins to stabilize.

Meanwhile, a report published on Thursday expressed hope that the country is taking control of the recent spike in coronovirus cases. The UK’s Imperial College London published the latest findings from an ongoing study into the spread of the virus, stating that the reproductive (or R) number of coronoviruses “had dropped from 1.7 to 1.1 … but to a wider range of possible With recent values ​​of 0.7 to 1.5. ”

The R number indicates the number of secondary infections resulting from an infected person, on average. Scientists want to keep R1 down to slow the spread of the disease.

“This suggests that the rate of new infections has decreased, but an R above 1 will mean that if the current trend continues, cases will continue to increase,” said Imperial scientists, with more than 80,000 among the sept. Report of results of swab tests conducted on people. 18 and 26 as part of its “REACT 1” study.

The study tracks current cases of Kovid-19 in the community by testing more than 150,000 randomly selected people each month over a two-week period. Volunteers take home nose and throat swelling, which is then analyzed in a laboratory.

Professor Paul Elliott, director of the REACT program at Imperial, said the results suggested some measures initiated to prevent the spread of the virus in the UK, which could also include a “rule of six” limiting social functions.

“While our latest findings show some early evidence that growth of new cases may be slow, suggesting efforts to control the infection, the spread of infection is the highest we’ve recorded to date,” he said.

“This confirms the need for protective measures to limit the spread of the disease and public adherence to these.”

The UK has seen its highest number of daily infections in the last few weeks. There were 7,108 multiple cases on Wednesday, with 7,143 new cases on Tuesday, the highest daily increase in infections recorded so far.

mixed signals

The UK as well as other European countries have tightened coronovirus measures to prevent the spread of the virus, including reintroducing local lockouts in some areas and cities and limiting the number of people socially gathering Measures are included. Pub, bar and restaurant opening hours.

Both Germany and Spain have announced tougher regional measures this week to curb the spike in coronovirus cases, particularly in urban areas, to trace family celebrations.

The spikes that major European countries have seen are also looking at whether there may be signs that daily numbers of infections, while still high, are temporarily stagnant and in some cases starting to decline – but not all .

In Spain, the daily count of infections remains high, with around 10,000 markings registered this week with about 11,000 registered on Wednesday, but a temporary decline is seen in new cases. The Spanish health ministry data indicated a decline.

Between 14–20 September, more than 70,000 new cases were reported, while the week-after figures recorded just over 53,000 new cases. Still, the government is taking no chances with the virus hotspot Madrid, deciding to close the capital on Wednesday as the infection remains high. They account for more than one-third of the regional data validation of new daily transitions across the country. According to Johns Hopkins University, Spain has the highest number of cases in Europe, numbering 769,188.

In France, which has the second highest number of coronovirus cases (JHU states, with 604,031 cases), the situation is not so good. More than 12,000 new cases were reported by the Ministry of Health on Wednesday, with 10,000 new cases rising for the first time in three days, and the number of people hospitalized for more than 10 weeks, to 6,590. Were calculated. .

Italy and Germany are Europe’s major economies that have not seen a dramatic increase elsewhere, although both have seen intense outbreaks in some regions.

Germany reported 1,798 new cases from 2,089 new infections the previous day, according to data from the Robert Koch Institute, but the public health body warned that the four-day R Mann (number of four-day moving average new cases) “September. Mainly over 1 from the second week of the year, “although it stood at 0.96 on Wednesday.

In Italy, the number of new daily infections is not increasing very dramatically. Although 1,851 new cases were reported by the Ministry of Health on Wednesday, 200 more than the previous day, it was noted by the Italian news agency Ensa that 15,000 more coronavirus tests were conducted by the Ministry of Health than the previous day, And this may account for the increase.

Describing the transition stage as “stable”, Ansa said that no region showed zero new infections and “Campania, once again led the way with 287 new cases” followed by Lazio, where Rome is located, recording 210 new cases. And Lombardi, where the original outbreak of Italy unfolded, was the case for another 201 days earlier.

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