Researchers develop new life expectancy calculator – you will die on Tuesday, jk just look at it


Will knowing your death date affect your actions? It was done for Tiberius Caesar. The court astrologer Thrasius agreed that he had many years of life, with the handicapped old emperor chosen to postpone the murder of his heir Caligula.

But to believe Thrasius’ prophecy and let his guard down, Tiberius inadvertently gives Caligula enough time to first poison him. The rest, as they say, is history – which Thrasius deliberately altered by reducing the life expectancy of his employer.

While many of us are unlikely to find ourselves in Caesar’s position, knowing how many years we have left can affect many aspects of our lives – including when to retire, whether for a long time. There is a long-awaited vacation from, and even some medical options. the treatment.

My Longevity, a newly developed app by researchers at the University of East Long Anglia, now allows each of us to make our life expectancy astrologer. But how much confidence should we have in these predictions?

Life expectancy vs lifetime

Simply put, how long is life expectancy, on average, members of any population can expect life. This is different from lifespan, which is the maximum duration of survival of a member of any species.

Although life span has changed very little – if at all – global life expectancy has increased more than 40 years since the beginning of the 20th century. This was achieved through a combination of scientific discoveries and public health measures that reduced infant mortality. In the UK, life expectancy at birth is now over 80 years.

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Life expectancy depends a lot on where you grow up or live. So more unequal populations can be divided into sub-populations that have common traits – but which are still large enough to be statistically significant – become more accurate predictions. By doing this the population can be divided on the basis of gender (average women live longer than men) or smoking status (for obvious reasons), or both.

The team of researchers used a sophisticated version of this approach when developing their app, informed by their previous research. It factors its app in the life expectancy effects of controlled and uncontrolled hypertension, the presence of related diseases such as heart disease or rheumatoid arthritis, ongoing treatment with statins, and the presence of serious risk factors such as high cholesterol.