“This is not a normal youth election. These are voters who are chasing Vice President Biden, “Sara Adeolo, executive director of the Alliance for Youth Action, a non-cooperation organization dedicated to increasing youth turnout and political engagement.
The poll, commissioned by the Alliance and conducted by data analytics company Civic, surveyed 1,241 young Democrats and Democratic-leaning independent states. It reached registered voters in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Texas and Wisconsin between July 18–20. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.
Historically, political campaigns have not deeply invested in young people, who drop out at lower rates than older generations, are more likely to recognize them as independent and have increased mistrust of government and institutions . Data from groups such as coalitions and research organization CIRCLE shows that young people are less likely to be contacted by campaigns or to receive voting information. The number is even lower for youth with college experience.
With the epidemic of eliminating the most meaningful in-person contact, Audelo stressed the need for campaigns to target General Z and Millennial voters with digital outreach to ensure voting.
If elections were held today, the poll found that nearly 90 percent of the young Democrats would choose Biden. But it has been well documented that Biden is facing an enthusiasm gap, especially with younger black voters.
While those people almost unanimously disliked President Donald Trump, 27 percent also rated Biden somewhat or very unfavorably. For Black Young Millennials and General Z Democrats or Democratic-leaners, this number rises to 31 percent.
With Trump’s recent comments about mail voting, the poll shows that a large proportion of these young Democrats intend to vote by mail – though some have no idea how. Just 36 percent say they plan to vote in person, while 43 percent plan to vote by mail. Another 9 percent said they want to vote by post, but they do not know the rules in their state.
Young white Democrats (30 percent) are less likely to say they will vote in person than black people (48 percent) or Latino (40 percent).
Nevertheless, with such a year to 2020, youth voting advocates are expecting a change in the will of young people due to the nation’s response to Kovid-19 and a wave of protests against police killings and systemic racism.
Voters surveyed the name Coronavirus and abolished systemic racism and discriminated among their top priorities. Twenty-nine percent of voters chose “policing disregard” as the most important criminal justice reform – the highest of any other initiative.
“Motivational young voters are highly motivated to get voters up and down this year to vote,” Audelow said. “But Vice President Biden has a lot of work to do to earn his vote.”