The relatively short Preakness field of eight horses this year is exactly split between runners who competed in the Kentucky Derby and those who did not. The latter, often misnamed "new shooters," are committed to the following runners, whom we will now present to them:
Quip (12-1) : You might think that the primary owners of the Kentucky winner Derby would stay away from entering another of his horses in the Preakness to compete against the only contender in the Triple Crown this year, but not here in Baltimore. The associations are a bit different, but both Justify and Quip have common owners in WinStar Farm and China Horse Club International. So, what is the story?
According to Elliott Walden of WinStar Farm, Quip deserved the opportunity to run in the Preakness. That could be read in several ways: A. The owners do not believe that Justify is surpassed by Quip (or anyone in the Preakness), why not run and possibly pick up another check for the 2nd, 3rd, etc.? B. There is a 1 in 4 chance (2 of 8 runners) to take the $ 1.5 million Preakness bag. C. They are being respectful of the talent of Quip and his other owners, and they are also good athletes. Or D. Quip was raised by WinStar, so if Justify (raised by John Gunther) stumbles, that is a second and different feather on the farm boundary.
I will take the right path and say that it is all of the above, which seems essentially reasonable.
But does Quip really have a chance?
The Colt of Distorted Humor won his first two starts as a junior and then could not compete in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes at Churchill, finishing seventh. But he recovered big, winning the Tampa Bay Derby a few months later, and then finished second in the Arkansas Derby behind Magnum Moon. In the two races this year, he had exactly the same trip, stalking a candidate who advances quite easily. Breaking from the railing in the Preakness, I suppose he will send Florent Geroux, but I have a difficult time, based on his last two performances, seeing him able to handle Justify all over the track. Possibly he is looking for an action but winning seems unlikely, even though he is clearly a good horse.
Sporting Chance (30-1) : Despite having seven starts in his career, he's still a bit weird. Like Magnum Moon, he likes to drift along the stretch, which makes his driver's life and connections difficult. In the Hopeful last year, he ran away and managed to win. He deviated to the right at the Blue Grass Stakes while still clinging to a third place behind Derby runner-up Good Magic, although Sporting Chance was DQ at fourth.
On his last outing, the Pat Day Mile at Churchill Downs on Derby day, was a different story. He ran well and straight on the stage, after having suffered a rather horrible trip on the slope. It was very wide, had to control the stretch of the back and still ran for the room. All in all, it was a pretty good performance.
Col Tiznow, trained by six-time Preakness D. Wayne Lukas, has only two wins in seven starts, but if he runs straight and gets a decent ride, it's likely that the best long-shot key in this race at 30-1.
Ten times (20-1) : The good news for this slightly piloted Curlin colt is that he finished only 4 1/2 lengths behind Arkansas Derby winner Magnum Moon in his last outing, a general finish which included two other Kentucky Derby starters. The bad news is that those three starters finished 103 combined behind Justify in Louisville. So, where does that leave us?
The reproduction could be there, a Curlin of a Tapit mare. The results of KY Derby are obviously not flattering, but it is a unique race in which good horses are beaten. Still, he only ran three times and had a pretty good trip in the Arkansas Derby, so I can not find many excuses for him to do something important, other than being trained by Steve Asmussen and owned by Winchell Thoroughbreds. . Talented but also run, I think, at this point.
Diamond King (30-1) : Coach John Servis captured the Kentucky Derby with Smarty Jones in 2004 and has won other high-level races, so we should probably pay attention when participating in a race like this , especially to these probabilities. In addition, the owner of Diamond King (in partnership) is Cash is King Stable, whose main principle is Charles Zacney, owner of the winner of the Preakness 2005 and Belmont Afleet Alex.
Currently most notable, Diamond King picks world-class jockey Javier Castellano for the Preakness. Diamond King has also won four of six starts, although a third appearance in the Swale Stakes is the only qualified spot on his resume. In the last opening of Diamond King, it was maintained by the victory of Federico Tesio Stakes in Laurel Park against … meh.
The connections suggest a long intrigue. The results on paper do not compare to the two best ones here, although you would have to consider it a "new shooter" to blow the slate against you if you believe in the connections.
Who are they chasing?
By Natalie Voss
If Justify proves that the experts are right this weekend and sprinkles the victory of the Preakness, it will give coach Bob Baffert a seventh victory in the history of the race. D. Wayne Lukas is also looking for victory number seven with Bravazo or Sporting Chance.
Perhaps surprisingly, a win for either of them would only serve to tie in most of Preakness's victories in the race. Over the next few hours, at least, they are both in second place behind R. Wyndham Walden, who saddled seven winners in the late 1800s, including five consecutive winners from 1878 to 1882 for owner George Lorillard.
A native of Virginia, Walden was the grandson of Isham Puckett, owner of the Broad Rock track near Richmond at the time of his birth in 1844. Walden grew up at a horse gallop and became a trainer after the War Civil. According to an article in the Baltimore Sun of 1905, he worked for Governor Oden Bowie (owner and eventual founder of the Preakness) before establishing a base in Jerome Park.
It was here that Walden joined George Lorillard, a descendant of Pierre Lorillard, who founded the tobacco company P. Lorillard in the mid-18th century. George was a prominent purebred owner at the time and became one of the co-founders of Monmouth Park. Outside his brother Pierre's stable, it was reported that George Lorillard's operation was the largest in the country in the 1880s. Walden became not only his principal trainer but also his agent in annual sales, where he exercised moderately moderation, spending only on the horses he considered most deserved.
Lorillard owned the winners of the Preakness Duke of Magenta (1878), Harold (1879), Granada (1880), Saunterer (1881) and Vanguard (1882).
One of Walden's best known runners was probably Tom Ochiltree, who won the Preakness in 1875. Like Justify, the 17-handed monster did not run like a 2- a year and he arrived at the Preakness just two days after breaking his maid in a six-furlong event worth $ 300. Although the effort seemed to have derailed the rest of his 3 year season, Tom Ochiltree returned well with 4 and 5 and finished his career with 21 wins in 33 starts. One of his only losses was in a draw where he faced his rivals Parole and Ten Broeck. The contest was anticipated, the Congress was suspended so that its members could attend the race. An impression of the end of that race was adapted to become the logo of Pimlico: those three horses whose contours appear today under the "Pimlico" sign on the side of the grandstand.
When he was not in the circle of winners or attended sales Walden developed his own base of operations in Middleburg, Md. In 1878 he bought a farm owned by Colonel Thomas Hook and renamed it Bowling Brook. It expanded the property to include 1,800 acres, up to 200 horses, a training track and an indoor one-story track. Walden also designed an unconventional barn (at least in comparison to other training barns of the time) with posts that open from the back to the paddocks, allowing horses to be released quickly from outside the building in case of fire . The Morris family, another of Walden's main clients, raised a colt whose damsire was Tom Ochiltree and named him Bowling Brook after the farm. Bowling Brook went on to win the Belmont Stakes of 1898.
Newspapers estimated that horses trained at Bowling Brook between 1872 and 1898 raised more than $ 1.3 million. (It is difficult to properly adjust that number for inflation, since the official inflation calculator only dates from 1913, but that figure would be more than $ 31 million today).
After Walden's death in 1905, the family was so inundated with telegrams and letters of sympathy that they put an article in the Baltimore Sun to thank the horse lovers of the state for their sympathy. His son Robert took over the training operation and later won the Kentucky Derby in 1899 with Manuel.
Walden was inducted into the Hall of Fame of the National Racing Museum in 1970, an honor he would later share with Lukas and Baffert.
Preakness by numbers (recent)
By Chelsea Hackbarth
- In the last 20 years, ten Preakness Stakes races have been won by the Kentucky Derby winner, while four races were won by Horses that did not win did not even start in the Race for the Roses.
- Four times, Pimlico's track was rated as good or sloppy on Preakness Day and on two of those occasions, the Derby winner and Preakness's favorite could prevail; remarkably, both colts ran two bodies ahead during the 1 3 / 16th-mile contest.
- Nine of Preakness's last 20 pitches have been won by the postseason favorite, of which six were the winners of the Kentucky Derby.
- Fourteen winners of the Preakness competed as favorites or stalkers, four distances from the leader at all points of scale. Six ran as confirmed closers. Two candidates won off the courts, while two closers took the first prize on the other two occasions of carelessness or good running.
- The largest field in the last 20 years was 14 starters, while the smallest was eight.  The positions from 1 to 4 have won four of the last 20 Preaknesses, while the positions from 5 to 8 represent 10 of the last 20 winners of the second jewel of the Triple Crown. Six winners of the Preakness were separated from position nine or higher.
- In 11 of the last 20 races, the Preakness was won by a margin of two lengths or less. Only three of those winners were the favorites of recent times.
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