Orange County reported 1,058 new cases of COVID-19, but with no additional deaths on Sunday, the county’s total was brought to 77,819 cases with 1,577 disasters.
According to the Orange County Health Care Agency, the number of county residents hospitalized with the virus rose from 534 to 597 on Saturday, with the number of patients in intensive care ranging from 138 to 148.
The change in the three-day average of hospitalized patients increased from 12.3% to 13.6%. The county has 25% of its intensive care unit beds and 63% of its ventilators available.
Rising numbers on Holiday Weekend confirm officials anticipating Thanksgiving-Fuel increases. Orange County CEO Frank Kim said earlier this week that he was “very concerned” about the cases and hospitalization.
“And even though my conversations with the various hospitals (authorities) today are more confident, because they were early in the disease about how to treat it, I’m not taking it lightly,” Kim said. “Any increase in hospitalization and ICU rates is a significant concern for our community.”
Authorities recommend waiting at least two days after an incident or gathering to conduct tests as the infection may not be immediately detected.
Andrew Noymer, a UC Irvine associate professor of population health and disease prevention, warned of a severe cold.
“Noymer is very apprehensive of the trends we are going to see after Thanksgiving.” “People don’t appreciate that we were recording deaths from the summer wave through October,” Noymer told the City News Service.
Noimer predicted more cases than the July peak.
“But it’s not just like another July and has to go away,” Noymer said. “I think it’s going to be bad.”
The last time the hospitalization rate was 10 August.
“We will return to July (levels) at the end of next week,” Noymer said. “And whether it will continue to deteriorate or continue to deteriorate like July. There are reasons to believe that we can only get worse.”
Noyemar said the main reason for this is that the cold weather is pushing people into more indoor activities and some students are still attending classes in classrooms.
The worst day for COVID-19 hospitals in Orange County was July 14, when there were 722 patients.
In the state’s tiered monitoring system, which is updated on Tuesday, the county’s adjusted daily case rate per 100,000 residents increased from 10.8 to 17.2 and the positivity rate was 4.6% to 6.8%.
The positivity rate fit the red level of the state’s four-tier reunion roadmap, but the daily case rate per 100,000 is just before the 8% threshold for the most restrictive violet tier.
Kim said he was optimistic that vaccines were on the way and would be coming by the end of the year. Kim said hospital systems will receive vaccines directly and individual hospitals will receive doses from the county.
Frontline health care workers will be among the first people to receive vaccinations, as well as people with underlying health conditions that make them particularly vulnerable to disease.
Conan Nolan of NBC4 talks with Los Angeles County Health Director Barbara Ferrer, PhD on measures being taken to stop the increase of COVID cases. Are we taking adequate measures or are some measures such as a ban on outdoor dining – considered unnecessary by some – actually ending the increased transmission of the virus by sending more people indoors?
Hopefully, increased testing and awareness of infection will encourage more quarantine and isolation and other social distance practices that help prevent the spread of the virus, Kim said.
At this point, the county has 354.1 per 100,000 trials, surpassing the county’s targets for testing.
Kim said the county is focusing on encouraging testing. The number of tests conducted in the county was 1,445,183, including Sunday’s 8,037 reports. 59,401 documents have been recovered.