FiveShite.com founder Nate Sliver said over the weekend that Democratic presidential candidates Joe BidenJoe Bidenbidden leads Trump in a poll of Texas voters from a left-lining poster on the trail: Making sense of Super Poll Sunday. Trump rebukes FBI for investigating supporters accused of further harassing Biden bus If he does not win Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes on Tuesday, he will become a Dalit.
Speaking on ABC’s “This Week”, Silver said that the presidential race would come to Keystone State.
“Pennsylvania has not led Biden by 7-7 points in Michigan and Wisconsin,” Silver said. “This is not a large early voting state, so a lot of votes have not been cast in Pennsylvania yet.”
“Maybe add a lot of small things and Biden loses Pennsylvania by half a point, and then he doesn’t pull enough or North Carolina. He has other options,” Silver continued. “But still, without Pennsylvania, then Biden becomes a Dalit.”
FiveThirtyHeight, which collects voting data, shows the former Vice President with a 4.8 percentage point lead over Trump in Pennsylvania, 8.4 percent in Michigan and 8.6 percent in Wisconsin.
The RealClearPol Politics Index has a lead of 2.9 points in major elections in the state.
Trump won Pennsylvania by less than one percentage point in 2016.
This year, with both Trump and Biden visiting Pennsylvania more than any other state during the 2020 campaign, the president held four rallies on Saturday.
Trump loses popular vote for Democratic candidate Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham Clinton on the Trail: Making Sense of Super Poll Sunday Trump Wins Despite a Pinch of Trade Policies, Epidemic Trump Stages Five Rallies in Five States in Pre-Election Sprint The electorate, by about 3 million votes, won from 304 to 227.
Silver’s forecast gives Biden an 89 percent chance of winning the presidency.