Washington (AP) –
According to the AP Votecast, a national poll of polls, four years of partisan discord and elections have divided American voters from public health, racial justice, and the economy to a depth of votes.
Supporters of President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden found little common ground on the top crises facing the nation. But amidst some shared views: Trump has changed the way he works in Washington. Most Trump voters say they have changed Washington for the better; Most Biden voters say they have changed it for the worse.
A snapshot of who voted and what mattered to them based on the preliminary results of the AP Votecast, a poll of more than 133,000 voters and non-voters nationwide for the Associated Press by NORC at the University of Chicago..
Trump has for months sought to express skepticism about vote-counting – particularly mail-in ballots, which take longer to count in favor and support Democrats – without evidence acknowledging that The process was ripe for fraud and Democrats would try to steal the election.
The poll shows that his voters were listening.
Trump supporters were more likely to mistrust the counting process, though voters of both candidates had their doubts. About 7 to 10 voters were confident that the votes would be counted correctly, although about a quarter of voters were “very confident”. About 8 to 10 Biden voters were convinced, compared to about 6 in 10 Trump supporters.
Trump voters felt more confident about another democratic institution that has played a role in this year’s election – the Supreme Court. The High Court, along with lower courts, handled lawsuits in recent weeks regarding the count of mail-in ballots in several states. Before that, conservative Justice Amy Connie Barrett filled her seat in the Supreme Court after a Republican-controlled Senate hearing through her confirmation just before the election.
Nearly 9 to 10 Trump voters were at least somewhat impartial in the High Court and fair in their decisions, while nearly half were Biden voters.
Two different things
The long-running division defined the last four years, stating that nearly three-quarters of voters said they all knew who they were supporting in this election. The votecast shows the difference between Trump and Biden supporters – on the virus, on the economy, on football as well.
As American coronovirus cases increased, claiming more than 232,000 lives, a majority of Biden voters – about 6 in 10 – said the epidemic was the most important issue facing the country. And Biden voters said the federal government should make it a priority to limit the spread of the virus – even if it hurts the economy.
But Trump voters were more focused on the economy. Nearly half of Trump’s voters saw the economy and jobs as the top issue facing the nation, while only 1 in 10 Biden voters saw it as the most important.
The two groups did not agree on the state of the economy, either. Trump voters insist that the economy is in good shape: About three-quarters describe national economic conditions as excellent or good. About 8 to 10 Biden voters do not call them good or poor.
Thoughts on football were also clouded among voters in several states, including Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio. When coronoviruses threatened the Big Ten’s college football season, Trump campaigned to ensure the game would be played. Not surprisingly, in eight states, voters playing the Big Ten this year supported Trump over Biden. Those who saw this as a mistake were more likely to have Biden back.
LOYAL TO VISIT
Trump won four years ago with a message of devolution, promising to shake the Washington establishment, roll the rules, and put America in the first place – and his message still resonates with his supporters. They like what they are seeing.
Trump voters said their vote was their support, not in opposition to Biden. And they were somewhat likely to say to Biden voters that they agreed with their candidate or most of the time, 81% vs. 74%.
The overwhelming majority of Trump voters want to shake up the political system – even four years after Trump’s leadership. But in a twist, a large majority of Democrats now agree – though they would prefer a shake-up to exclude Trump.
But voters in both candidates expressed concern about Washington’s corruption, with an overwhelming majority stating that they believed corruption would be a “major problem” in their opponent’s administration.
Public personal influence
Although widespread voters said that the coronovirus epidemic affected them personally, there were deep racial and partisan disparities.
About 10 in 10 voters and about 3 in 10 Latino voters said they lost a family member or close friend to the virus, while about 1 in 10 white voters said so.
Latino and black voters were also more likely to have lower household incomes due to the epidemic than nearly a third of white voters.
Voters in cities were more likely than people in other communities to say that they had lost a close friend or family member. Urban voters report some degree of income loss compared to other voters.
All of these groups of voters figure in Biden’s column, meaning his voters were somewhat more likely than Trump voters to feel an impact from 73% to 62% in at least one way they asked about the poll. Have done
A number of protests and violent clashes over racial inequality in policing revealed increasingly controversial views on racism.
A majority of black voters said racism is a “very serious” problem in the US, but less than half of white voters said it.
About two-thirds of black voters and about 4 in 10 Latino voters said the police were very strict on crime. But among white voters, only about a quarter said that police is too tough and largely because many police are not tough enough.
Those divisions turn into partisan divisions. Biden voters almost unanimously stated that racism is a serious problem in American society and in policing, including about 7 out of 10 who described it as “very” serious. A slim majority of Trump voters – who are overwhelmingly white – called racism a serious problem in American society, and just under half said it was a serious problem in policing.
But compared to epidemics and the economy, relatively few voters considered racism or law enforcement to be the country’s top issue: 7% said racism was the most important and just 4% said law enforcement was.
Weber reported from Fenton, Michigan.
AP is a poll of American voters conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for VoteCast, Fox News, NPR, PBS NewsHour, Univision News, USA Today Network, The Wall Street Journal and The Associated Press. As soon as the voting closed, 110,485 voters were surveyed for eight days. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. The survey mixed a random sample of registered voters drawn from state voter files; Self-registered registered voters using the NORC prospect based AmeriSpeak panel, which is representative of the American population; And self-registered registered voters were selected from non-proportional online panels. The margin of sampling error for voters is estimated to be plus or minus 0.4 percentage points. Find out more about the methodology of AP Votecast at https://ap.org/votecast.
For full coverage of AP in US presidential elections: https://apnews.com/hub/election-2020