The US is holding its breath after a six-month sentence of a coronovirus epidemic, with daily deaths of Kovid-19 in the wake of summer outbreaks in sunbelt states like Florida and Texas.
Still, public health officials and researchers are warning Americans not to let their guard down. Experts say once again the mix of students in classrooms, cold weather and long-running epidemics at places like the Northeast threatens to trigger fatigue and more cases, leading to deaths.
Workers’ Day Weekend brought with it the end of summer celebrations, revised summer travel and more fitness facilities and restaurants to welcome customers.
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“As activity returns and people become less vigilant, and as the season rolls on, we’ll see it tickle again,” said Dr., director of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Said Christopher Murray, who enters the US. Kovid-19’s death toll may more than double from 1 January. From current toll of 190,000 to 410,000. The withdrawal of cold weather is a major factor.
For now, however, some metrics are improving. The seven-day average of the new daily Kovid-19 in the US remains below 1,000 for more than two weeks, according to data compiled and compiled by Johns Hopkins University, after averaging 1,100 in late July and early August.
The decline in reported deaths is as per the count of falling cases since July, when they grew in the south. The US recently reported about 40,000 new cases a day, up from 67,000 at the end of July, compared to an average of seven days.
According to health researchers, the pattern in Kovid-19 deaths is likely to be implicated in those cases, as infected people take time to get sick and die from the disease.
Meanwhile, the deaths observed in April were at a peak, with an average of seven days per day of 2,200 deaths in the US, and outbreaks hit hard, cold, chilly weather places such as New York City, New Jersey and parts of New York. did. England. While the cases known at the time were very few, as they still are, the trial was also more limited, and was generally reserved for sick patients.
Since then, it has been difficult to identify how much the virus and its potential have changed to harm those infected, public health experts and epidemiologists say. Testing capacity in the US has steadily expanded beyond sick patients, creating a fuller, but still incomplete, picture of the virus’s reach.
It is very difficult to tell a national story about Kovid in epidemic reactions because there is so much regional diversity “and therefore how the virus spreads, said Bonzo Radic, president of the Department of Community Medicine at Mercer University School of Medicine in Georgia.
While more is now known about how to manage acute symptoms and critically ill patients, Drs. Redick said it is difficult to determine whether the virus is more or less fatal than in the early days of the epidemic, as its toll varies severely in some communities.
As testing capacity and availability have expanded, it has revealed more infected young people, many of whom never feel symptoms but have spread the virus, public-health officials say. People between the ages of 18 and 29 now confirm that approximately 23% of cases of Kovid-19 were reported to the Center for Disease Control and Prevention, the largest age group.
“There is a strong correlation between social behavior and the spread of the virus, with youth returning to college campus entering college and attending social ceremonies.” This is the result of an outbreak in cases among young people, and partly due to the widespread test availability to detect it, he said.
A 10-day Sturgis motorcycle rally in a small town in South Dakota in early August attracted more than 400,000, with some researchers calling it a superspreader event. In a study published by Germany’s IZA Institute of Labor Economics, researchers used cellphone data to chart visitors’ trips to a host of counties, which saw a spurt in cases two to three weeks after the event. Colleges around the US have struggled with campus outbreaks, sometimes despite being tied to parties, despite pleas from the authorities to keep distance from students.
While the pattern of infection has recently shifted toward younger people, older populations and individuals with underlying health conditions such as heart problems and diabetes, the virus is still most likely to die, public health experts said. From early spring to early summer deaths, Americans over 75 years of age have consistently accounted for more than half of known Kovid-19, death-proof data collected by the CDC show.
Dr. “We’re not really seeing a great evidence of that innings towards death,” Murray said. “If young people are fueling the transmission it will still wave back at everyone else.”
Deaths in the US have also carried an odd ratio on minority populations, including Blacks and Latino people, who are more likely to die from Kovid-19 than Whites when they are 55 or younger.
There are indications that the virus is continuing to spread in some parts of the country. According to a Wall Street Journal analysis of JHU data, the one-week average in new daily cases was above the two-week average in 16 states, a month before Tuesday.
Among the states, Missouri has recently seen an increase in the percentage of positive tests. Public-health officials say this increase is due to social disturbances for young people and non-adherence to safety protocols. This is despite a drop in the number of people who have been infected in their 70s and 80s, as well as fewer deaths and hospitalizations in recent weeks.
About 40% of Missouri cases are in three counties with high densities and a large population of working and studying youth.
Randall Williams, director of the Missouri Department of Health and Senior Services, said, “We don’t believe that certain groups get it, it’s OK ‘, who said that the state’s awareness of the dangers of getting infected Trying to increase. He said, “There is no person who is free from the evil consequences of this virus,” he said.