North Korea’s leader Kim Jong Un has landed only a troop of threats against the US, greeting incoming President Joe Biden, likely to be his biggest foreign policy dilemma soon after his inauguration on 20 January.
It was not simply Kim engaged in familiar rhetoric, calling America “the main enemy” of the North. He also clarified that his three meetings with outgoing President Donald Trump were a complete failure to end his nuclear program — the club he held on the US, South Korea and Japan.
Kim avoided any mention of Biden, calling him a “thug” and a “dictator” in the 2020 campaign debate with Trump. Nor did he mention Trump, who famously said that he and Kim “fell in love” during their first summit meeting in Singapore in June 2018 when they announced their desire for a “nuclear-free” Korean peninsula Signed a brief statement.
All such encounters were overlooked in his report to the ongoing Congress of his ruling Workers Party in which he vowed to build a “nuclear weapon” that was on the way to producing “super-large nuclear warheads” with small, light And strategic “. . “
Kim, who is the party’s president, left clear that the ability to take nuclear warheads and missiles to take them to distant targets, including the US, is gone. North Korea last conducted a nuclear test in September 2017, after a deep underground hydrogen explosion blew away the better part of a small mountain and is believed to have killed 200 people. Two months later he ordered the test of a long-range missile — the first of two Korea and US last demonstrations — the long process of summit that began with the failure of the Trump-Kim summit in Hanoi in February 2019.
Kim abandoned any notion of shutting down any nuclear other than defense but said the North had “started building nuclear force without any hindrance.” At stake, he said, following the rhetoric, was “the welfare of the people, the fate of the revolution, the existence and independent development of the state.”
All he suggested was that he was challenging Biden, leaving an open path to more dialogue in which one thing was certain: his nuclear program is here to stay, and, if one is so dense as to think otherwise For, he can do just one more nuclear test and ordered more missile launches to prove it.
Analysts were in no doubt that Kim meant that she “expanded external relations” – despite her hopes of provoking the speech the day before at the party’s conference – of her desire to renew dialogue with South Korea and perhaps the US Indicate his own terms.
Kim forgot any wishful thinking about softness in his policies, offered a realistic position for talks or compromise as the Biden team, led by Biden, led by Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Jake Sullivan at National Security advisors, reviewed as policy options.
Victor Cha, who served on the National Security Council during the chairmanship of George W. Bush, “may have been in the same position when he was facing the test from North Korea, tirelessly after trial,” Biden said. . “At least, Kim’s comment” constitutes a clear-cut commitment to the entire nine yards on nuclear weapons, “said Cha, who is now a professor at Georgetown.
Look outside, Cha cautioned, mainly for “more testing to develop these capabilities”.
Former senior diplomats of the US Embassy in Seoul agreed. “For all those who were waiting for Kim Jong Un’s response to the results of the US presidential election, we have now,” said Evans Revere. “It has come as no surprise to anyone who has followed North Korea’s continued development of nuclear weapons and ballistic missile delivery systems over the past four years, with Kim’s clear determination to the incoming Biden administration of her determination to continue this path Have informed. “
Kim said “it has become clearer than ever” that North Korea “will remain a nuclear power, and that Pyongyang plans to develop an even more reliable and diverse nuclear arsenal.”
“With his threats, Kim is circling past the cemetery.“
David Straub viewed Kim’s announcement as “an affirmation of what the regime has been doing for decades,” with the decision of the regime’s founder, Kim Il Sung, Kim’s grandfather, to launch a nuclear program that allowed Kim to The full strength comes from Kim Jong Il’s father, who ordered the North’s first two nuclear tests in 2006 and 2009. After his father’s death in 2011, Kim Jong Un revised the program, ordering a trial in 2013, two in 2016 and again in 2017.
Straub sees Kim’s oratory ability as a sign of weakness. “With his threats, Kim is whistling in the back of the cemetery,” Stroub said. “Kim does not need nuclear weapons to detain the United States”. The US has never tried to attack in nearly seven decades. Kim wants nuclear weapons to strengthen his political position at home and to intimidate the South. It will not work. “
Biden said, should “maintain and increase sanctions” against North Korea and “not be intimidated by Kim’s threats” knowing that “Kim is not suicidal and will not attack America”
Bruce Bechtol, a former North Korea intelligence analyst at the Pentagon and author of several studies on North Korea’s leadership, agreed that “enforcement of sanctions” was needed. “A long-range missile test or an underground nuclear test could be on the horizon in the coming weeks,” he said, “as Biden and his people feel.”
But such provocations are not the only option. “I will also be on the lookout for violent incitement against the South,” Becharol said, presumably along the demilitarized area between the northern borderline in the two Koreas or the Yellow Sea, below which South Korea bans Korean fishing vessels. The Yellow Sea has been the scene of several incidents in recent years, including the sinking of a South Korean corvette, Cheon, killing 46 South Korean sailors and shelling Yonpyeong Island, which killed four people in 2010.
Kim’s rhetoric with the US was attacked by South Korean President Moon Jae-in in an uncomfortable position to pressure Kim to reopen talks with whom he met four times in 2018 and 2019, while civilizing with the Americans Tried to stay on words. Instead of directly commenting on Kim’s difficult talk, a spokesman for the South’s Unification Ministry called for agreements to be made between the North and the South to “renew efforts for peace and prosperity on the Korean peninsula.”
North Korea has strongly criticized the leftist leader of the center, Moon, who has maintained the US coalition by taking a soft approach. Kim’s displeasure with Moon’s ambitious stance was most evident when North Korean troops blew up a liaison office in June that Moon had set up inside the bus to meet North Korean officials and resolve issues .
Any improvement in policy, Kim told the party congress, “will depend on the US withdrawal of its hostile policy.” He said his policies would “focus on the inclusion and subjugation of America, which are fundamental obstacles to our revolution and the development of our most prominent enemy.”
“Kim seems intent on using continued military development to shift negotiations with the US from nuclearization to arms control,” said Scott Snyder, a Korea expert on the Council on Foreign Relations. This only intensifies the dilemma for Biden between “the need to maintain crisis communications with North Korea and the apparent limited space for negotiation progress toward denuclearization.”
Kim said that the end of the alliance is defined as ending US hostile policy, removing troops from South Korea, and ending the extended insurgency and nuclear parasol. Foundation for the Defense of Democracy.
Nevertheless, Kim “equates” with the US and North Korea from the arms control perspective, Maxwell said, “wants to be ready for negotiation,” and of course, Kim calls North Korea “as a nuclear power I want to deal with “. There is no intention of giving up our nuclear weapons.”
Certainly, Kim “claims that he will be a responsible nuclear power and refrains from use if he is not targeted,” Maxwell said. The implication is clear: Biden & Co. For, what it has to do about North Korea is to return a class in the next installment of the never ending drama.