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National review

New territory of russia

In November, Russia obtained a piece of another country. It did not let a border cross through unknown soldiers, nor through hybrid warfare. Instead, it negotiated its capture from the United States or the rest of the world, and without a single question asked from the United States or the rest of the world. Due to the skirmish between Azerbaijan and Armenia over Nagorno-Karbakh. The mountainous region is internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan, but since 1994 a ceasefire between the two nations has been controlled by ethnic Armenians. The conflict erupted again in September. Two months later there was a peace deal with Russia, the winner: it mediated a ceasefire that put the Kremlin’s boots on the ground peacefully. America looked foolish as it happened. As the traditional defender of Armenia, Russia took the sole advantage of persuading Armenia to sign this ceasefire. By signing, Yerevan renounced its claim to the occupied territories in Azerbaijan since 1994 and did not cease rather than forced surrender. In return for slighting his ally, Moscow received a present and an appearance. In reality – until the US is fully prepared to engage in the peace process – Nagorno-Karbakh is now Russia indefinitely. The Kremlin governs the area for five years, with an automatic rollover for an additional five should any of the three parties cease-fire six months before the expiration of the mandate. Russia certainly will not. It is now the gatekeeper to a region for energy diversification of Europe (reducing the role of Russian imports). If the region is strategically important to NATO, it is important to the Kremlin. Armenia, to its disbelief in Azerbaijan, would like to remain pacifist. The brief but brutal conflict has proved conclusively that Armenia cannot win militarily, and therefore ethnic Armenians must accept rule by either Azerbaijan or Russia’s defenders. Weak and broken, Yerevan found himself less than humiliated for accepting the Russian Tutlage at Nagorno-Karabakh, if only to deny a fanatical enemy a complete victory. But it is a long-term disaster for Armenians. This means that they are effectively trapped in a Russian hug. They cannot turn to the west and turn east – either diplomatically or for investment – because the Russians are now in charge. Azerbaijan, traditionally thought of by Moscow as “on the other hand,” – in recent years due to lukewarm support from the United States and the European Union – has steadily deepened diplomatic and economic relations with Russia, necessitating and serious choices. Due to lack of. Yet with Russian military boots in Azerbaijani territory for the first time since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Moscow’s leverage has also become an economic leverage: by guaranteeing a transport corridor across Armenia – closed before the armistice – Azerbaijan Till the boycott of K Nakhichevan. Russia now controls Azerbaijan’s long-sought, direct land route from the Caspian Sea to the Mediterranean and Europe. The West certainly could see it coming. How it always starts: a toe tick soon in a toe. Crimea, Eastern Ukraine, South Ossetia, Abkhazia – The list of examples goes further. Russian Presence Becomes Russian Control: The Only Argument of Putin’s Neo-Ambitious Ambitions. Now, only a few weeks after the deployment of the military, the Kremlin is maneuvering: the lines on the map have begun to bend and flex. On the Russian Ministry of Defense website, a page shows a map outlining the area where Russian peacekeepers are to be deployed based on the agreement and under whose jurisdiction to operate. On 13 December, miraculously, the land over which they had control expanded. After Azerbaijani diplomatic pressure, it was changed to the original the following day. But this activity shows that Kremlin cartographers are getting creative – and very early in this intervention. The Rumors now swell Russian “passports” in Nagorno-Karbakh. In other countries of the Soviet Union new demographic realities have been created on the ground by granting citizenship to maintain influence in internal affairs. Once the Russians occupy the territory, the Russian is obliged to step into the state. This is a classic of the Kremlin repertoire. This was before the invasion of Crimea. This occurred in two regions in Georgia, South Ossetia and Abkhazia, before the war started again, with Russia emerging as the main beneficiary. Recently, passports have been aggressively deployed in eastern Ukraine through an aggressively streamlined process. The Kremlin has estimated that by the end of the year there will be more than one million Russian citizens who will influence the new mining documents. In all these situations, Russia’s hold is secure. The deportation would mean that a settlement negotiation on the final status of Nagorno-Karabakh – which should be considered some form of autonomy within Azerbaijan, as it was in Soviet days – would never end. Instead, Russia would turn into a passport protectorate, giving Russia an excuse – or in Moscow’s lexicon, legal jurisdiction – to jump into the territory if any imaginary threat to its “citizens” was to emerge. Now put in keeping with US-led aid. In view of Russian instability in Ukraine, it is surprising that more precautionary measures are not being taken in the South Caucasus. There is still time for the US to step in: the cease-fire will give way to negotiations for a final settlement deal, with much left to do. to decide. The US should oppose passports completely and comprehensively. US companies should invest in infrastructure and energy projects in the region to limit Russia’s room for maneuvers. And a US-led joint investment initiative between Armenia and Azerbaijan will help cut both of their dependence on Russia. It is time for the US to advance diplomatic and economic efforts and reestablish itself in the process. Otherwise, the uncontrolled expansion of Russia’s empire would continue.

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