- Four new surveys conducted by The New York Times / Siena College featured Joe Biden chief Donald Trump in Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire and Wisconsin.
- Biden is ahead 50% –41% in Minnesota, 46% –42% in Nevada, 45% –42% in New Hampshire, and 48% –43% in Wisconsin. When all four states are combined, Biden leads 48% –42%.
- In recent weeks, Biden and Trump have halted the campaign in the Midwest, where Biden hopes to build on the gains made by Democrats in the region in 2018.
- Trump has run a campaign largely based on his Democratic opponent being vulnerable to crime, but messaging has so far echoes.
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President Donald Trump entered the 2020 election with high hopes of maintaining his numbers in the Midwest and landing several blue states in the Republican column. But the recently released voting set in September by the New York Times and Siena College showed continued strength for Joe Biden among 8–11 potential voters.
The former vice president leads the incumbent president in Wisconsin, an important state for Minnesota, Nevada and New Hampshire, as well as Trump’s re-election hopes, stating that Trump is particularly in line with suburban voters Want to betray
In Wisconsin, Biden leads Trump 48% –43% with a sample of 760 respondents. Wisconsin, which had consistently voted for the Democratic presidential nominee from 1988 to 2012, went for Trump in 2016 by a 0.77% margin. Trump has created civil unrest in Kenosa, the focal point of his law following the police shooting of Jacob Blake. Order message, but it has lagged behind in elections in the state for months. The average of the most obvious Real Clear Politics for Wisconsin since August 21 through September 10 shows Biden 49.6% –43.3% through Septon 10.
In Nevada, with a sample size of 462 respondents, Biden Trump leads 46% -42%. Nevada, which has come dramatically toward Democrats in recent years, boasts a large percentage of white voters without college degrees, a demographic that plays to Trump’s strengths.
But Nevada is now a majority-minority state with a long tradition of organized labor, which bodes well for Biden’s opportunities. While Biden has been ahead of a limited amount of polling coming from Nevada, the Trump campaign will continue to compete fiercely there.
Minnesota, a state that has gone Democratic at the presidential level since 1976, has the largest lead for Biden (50% –41%, with 814 poll respondents) out of four states polled. Trump has tried to capitalize on the state unrest following the assassination of George Floyd, but he is still behind. However, Hillary Clinton won only Minnesota by 1.5% in 2016 and the Trump campaign insisted that the state remain visible this year, especially with the continued drift of the state’s rural voters away from the Democratic Party.
In New Hampshire, which was one of the closest states in 2016, Biden leads 45% -42% with 445 pollutant respondents.
Biden is in a strong position as a challenger to the presidency, but polling from four states showed some numbers to be parsed as both campaigns advance.
“Voting in four swing states, Mr. Biden’s advantage comes from a combination of strong support for women, people of color and whites with college degrees, although he performs better among male voters and less educated white voters than Mrs. Clinton Doing. Four years ago, “the Times reported.
Times / Siena turnout showed Trump ahead of 60% -28% in urban areas and 50% -39% in suburban areas, while Trump leads 50% -40% in rural areas. Notably, polling in four states also showed Biden winning a 47% -44% total white vote, with a sample size of 2,004 respondents. Democrats have struggled to win or break with white voters in national elections since the late 1960s, so this would be a significant development for the Biden campaign.