Hurricane warning issued for parts of Florida in Bahamas as Christian Spins


  • Storm conditions are expected in parts of the Bahamas on Friday.
  • Christian has warned of storms in parts of Florida.
  • The first effects can be felt in parts of Florida as soon as Saturday.
  • The forecast of this system is still uncertain due to several factors.
  • Isaias could eventually affect a large swath of the East Coast that is as far north as New England early next week.

Hurricane christ (ees-ah-EE-ahs)) Is expected to strengthen as it tracks through the Bahamas on Saturday and will then head to Florida later this week before tracking East Coast as far north as New England.

For a portion of Florida’s East Coast, a storm warning has been issued for the Boca Raton to Volusia / Brevard County line. Storm conditions are expected to persist late Saturday or Sunday.

A hurricane watch has been expanded, now in effect for parts of Florida from the Volusia-Brevard County line to the Flagler / Volusia County line and Boca Raton in South Florida to Hollandale County. A storm watch is usually issued 48 hours before the anticipated first event of a tropical-storm-force wind, which makes the preparedness difficult or dangerous.

(more: Terms of the weather of the storm you should know)

Storm warnings continue in Bahasa, including Nassau, Freeport and the Abacos Islands, where storm conditions are expected to occur on Saturday.

Watches and warnings

(A watch is issued when tropical storms or hurricane conditions are possible within 48 hours. A warning is issued when those conditions occur within 36 hours.)

Strong winds and bands of rain are wooing the southeast Bahamas, as well as Turks and Caicos. Wind gusts have been measured at speeds exceeding 50 mph in Turks and Caicos in the late Thursday and Friday mornings. Things are worsening in the Central and Northern Bahamas.

Heavy rain led to serious situation Flash flood In many areas of Puerto Rico. On Thursday, San Juan measured just 4.5 inches of rain. According to local emergency management, several fallen trees, mud and flooding were reported in southwest Puerto Rico. River flood Recorded at several locations in Puerto Rico by USGS gauge.

(news: Deadly Christians have done extensive damage to the left near the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico)

Below is a look at what we know about forecasts for any possible US and Caribbean impacts.

Florida, East Coast US Concern

The NHC indicated the path below that the system could be located near the east coast of Florida this weekend. Isayas would then move slowly to the northeast near the east coast. This is a subtle shift westward compared to previous forecasts.

Current information and approximate paths

(The red-shedded area represents the potential path to the center of the system. It is important to note that impacts with any tropical cyclone (especially heavy rains, high surf, coastal flooding, winds) are generally beyond its forecast path. Spread.)

There are still many reasons for this uncertainty, both in track and intensity.

It is still too early to determine precisely the future track and intensity of this system in relation to mainland America, therefore, the potential effects including rain, wind, and storm flooding.

Here we are now actively exploring:

Thoughts of intensity

The storm is forecast to fight somewhat unfavorable upper level winds – which meteorologists refer to as wind shear – along its tracks in the Bahamas and beyond. It is usually a nemesis of tropical cyclones.

Current satellite, wind shear analysis

(Cloudy areas are shown in white. Areas of strong wind shear, difference in direction with wind speed and elevation, are shown in purple. High wind shear is characterized by mature tropical cyclones and those trying to develop. Is hostile to.)

However, hot water is plentiful Near the Bahamas and the southeast US coast, a factor that would intensify at a slower rate.

The sum of these two competing factors should increase at a slower rate as shown in the National Hurricane Center forecast.

Further north, land contact with Florida may weaken Christian on Sunday.

Track idea

Prediction tracks overshadowing steering facilities in the atmosphere – an upper-level dip in air flow over the Bermuda High and Mississippi Valley. The track also has a role in how strong Isyaas is at the start of next week.

There are also large uncertainties in how fast Christians move along the east coast. Some computer model predictions are faster, some slightly slower. So, the timing of all this can also change.

Isaias is expected to make its way north, then Northeastern will change this weekend to early next week. But precisely when and how that intensifies will have a huge impact in Florida and along the East Coast. And it depends on the precise orientation and strength of those steering characteristics.

The National Weather Service will release additional weather balloons over the next few days to help locate these atmospheric steering agents. Storm hunters are sampling this evening to help improve the surrounding environment and forecast north of Isis.

Steering factor in play

(An upper-level trough over the Bermuda High and Mississippi Valley may help direct the system to the southeast US, assuming it survives as long as possible. A possible forecast path from the National Hurricane Center is shown in red .)

For now, a forecast is expected near the Florida east coast, but it may shift east or west.

As a hurricane is expected to reach South Florida as early as Sunday, and possibly Central or Northeast Florida Sunday afternoon. Florida will have at least some rain, wind, high surf and coastal flooding or hurricane effects this weekend.

Tropical Storm Force Winds and Most Likely Arrival Times

(According to the National Hurricane Center’s latest forecast, the above figure shows the chance of tropical-storm-force winds (at least 39 mph).)

A dangerous storm is also possible along Florida’s East Coast.

Here is the current forecast from the National Hurricane Center:

  • Jupiter Inlet to Ponte Vedra Beach FL: 2-4 feet
  • Jupiter Inlet FL from North Miami Beach: 1-3 feet

From there it can pass near the Carolinas on Monday, then move quickly north, near parts of the North-East Seaboard, as far as New England on Tuesday or Wednesday.

The swag generated by Christianity may begin reaching the southeastern coast of America as soon as Saturday morning, posing a threat to high surf and rip currents. Will remain elevated through the surf period until the passing of Isais.

Further to the north, here is a preliminary glance when tropical-storm-force winds are possible.

Residents of the East Coast from Florida to Maine should closely monitor the progress of this system and prepare their plans In case of going, they are necessary.

Caribbean, Bahamas Forecast

As mentioned earlier, Christianity is causing heavy rain and gusts of wind over the northern and central Bahamas.

Current wind field

(Orange circle refers to the range of tropical-storm-force winds (at least 39 mph) of the system. The purple circle refers to the limit of storm-force winds (at least 74 mph) according to the National Hurricane Center Indicates.)

Parts of Cuba are expected to receive 4 to 8 inches of rain in parts of the Bahamas up to 2 inches. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides are possible.

According to the National Hurricane Center, two to four inches of rain is possible from southern Florida to east-central Florida on Friday night, with a maximum of 6 to 4 inches.

East Carolina may also receive heavy rainfall early next week.

Rain forecast

(This should be interpreted as a broad approach where the heaviest rain can fall and shift depending on the forecast path of a tropical cyclone. Higher amounts may occur where the rain bands stop over a period of a few hours .)

Conditions in the central and southern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos will gradually improve through Friday as Isai moves north.

Hazardous storms ranging from 3 to 5 feet above ground level are forecast from the National Hurricane Center in areas where winds will blow offshore areas in the Bahamas.

Life-threatening surf and rip currents are also expected in Florida this weekend.

Check back with us at weather.com for important updates on Isaias.

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