Jacob Snodgrbad votes as his youngsters, John Fletcher Snodgrbad, 7, left; Julia Snodgrbad, 5; and Andrew Snodgrbad, eight, stand close by at Washington Mill Elementary School in Alexandria on Nov. 7. (Matt McClain/The Washington Post)
The first statewide elections since 2016 wrap up Tuesday, in addition to poll measures, county races and mayoral contests in each time zone. Here’s a information to when the polls shut (all occasions Eastern), and what to look at.
Virginia. No one wants a refresher right here: The marquee race of the 12 months pits Democrat Ralph Northam in opposition to Republican Ed Gillespie for management of the governor’s mansion in the course of the subsequent redistricting cycle. Democrats have been jittery concerning the race all 12 months, by no means extra so than throughout a remaining week that noticed their ballot lead fall to low single digits as Republican voters rallied.
Still, Democrats entered Election Day with some refreshed confidence and a Three-point lead. They’re additionally cautiously optimistic about electing Justin Fairfax as lieutenant governor and retaining Mark Herring as legal professional common. (Democratic attorneys common have been aggressive in difficult the Trump administration, maybe the celebration’s strongest line of protection whereas Republicans management Congress.)
Neither celebration thinks that Democrats can take over the House of Delegates, which after 2011’s redistricting — and a number of other dangerous Democratic years — has Republicans accountable for a 66-34 seat supermajority. Both events anticipate that benefit to shrink, even when Gillespie pulls off an upset, due to altering attitudes in northern Virginia. A great Republican evening would possibly see Democrats win two seats; a nasty evening might see Democrats lower the Republican majority to 55-45.
Atlanta. In 2009, in the course of the first trembles of the anti-Obama earthquake, Democrats practically misplaced management of the mayor’s workplace right here to Mary Norwood, a reasonable Republican. This 12 months, Norwood is sort of sure to make a runoff in opposition to one Democrat in a crowded discipline. Late polling has discovered a bonus for Keisha Lance Bottoms, however progressive activists from Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) on down have rallied for Vincent Fort, a left-wing state senator.
Not far-off, voters will elect a brand new senator from the sixth district — one in every of a number of in Georgia that was drawn to elect a Republican, however broke mbadive for Hillary Clinton in 2016. If elected, Democrat Jen Jordan would single-handedly scale back the GOP’s benefit from a veto-proof supermajority to a mere supermajority.
Manchester, N.H. It’s been 12 years since Democrats gained the mayor’s workplace in New Hampshire’s greatest metropolis; they got here shut in 2015, when Democrat Joyce Craig fell lower than 100 votes brief. Craig is operating once more in a greater local weather for her celebration, and New Hampshire’s Democrats have been on a roll in state legislative races, particularly in areas round Manchester that after voted solidly Republican. But Republicans hope Mayor Ted Gatsas will get a lift from one other particular election, on Republican turf, that cuts into town.
St. Petersburg, Fla. Republicans had been on observe to beat Democratic Mayor Rick Kriseman in the summertime, till former president Barack Obama made one in every of his few post-presidential interventions, endorsed Kriseman, and helped him win the primary spherical of the race in opposition to Republican former mayor Rick Baker. Polling now exhibits Kriseman narrowly forward, in precisely the sort of place the place Republicans fear that their previous coalition is being frayed by the unpopular selections of President Trump.
Charlotte. The more and more blue metropolis had a Republican mayor as lately as 2009; Democrats have gained shut races ever since, regardless of scandal and struggles with turnout. Democrat Vi Lyles beat struggling Mayor Jennifer Roberts in a main, and faces Republican Kenny Smith in a race that provides the celebration its second-best probability of exhibiting life (for the primary, see St. Petersburg) in city areas that recoil from the president. (That storyline will proceed throughout Atlanta’s runoff, and subsequent week when Albuquerque voters decide between Democrat Tim Keller and Republican Dan Lewis.)
New Jersey. Both events anticipate the Democrats to retake the governor’s mansion, with first-time candidate Phil Murphy — a former banker and celebration fundraiser turned ambbadador — having fun with a gentle double-digit lead over Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno (R), who has not been capable of shake Gov. Chris Christie’s (R) poisonous disapproval ranking.
There are simply two questions concerning the outcome: How far Murphy’s coattails lengthen, and whether or not he snipped them brief. Like former senator and governor Jon Corzine (whom Democrats would favor you overlook), the rich nominee has unfold money and marketing campaign badist throughout the poll, hoping to tug extra Democrats into the state legislature and knock off suburban Republicans in locations that broke for Hillary Clinton final 12 months. But within the race’s final month, Guagdano has pivoted to attacking Murphy on his promise to make New Jersey a “sanctuary state,” warning that he’d “violate his oath” and go away the state weak to violent criminals.
Public polling has tightened since that pivot, though with the Republican nonetheless greater than 10 factors behind.
Maine. Voters will resolve whether or not to increase Medicaid in a poll referendum, an finish run round Gov. Paul LePage (R), who has vetoed 5 legislative makes an attempt to get the state to take the cash supplied by the Affordable Care Act.
Pennsylvania. The entire state will likely be voting on whether or not to retain judges within the Supreme, Superior and Commonwealth courts — sharp, partisan races by which Republicans have outspent Democrats by a 2-1 margin. But for progressives and conservatives alike, the most-watched race is the Philadelphia district legal professional battle between Democrat Larry Krasner and Republican Beth Grossman. Krasner, a proudly left-wing lawyer who has represented Black Lives Matter activists and pledged to not pursue the dying penalty, gained the first in an upset; institution voices just like the Philadelphia Inquirer circled and endorsed Grossman.
New York City. After 4 years of scandal, of cops turning their backs, and of unnamed Democrats making an attempt to draft Hillary Clinton to switch him, Mayor Bill De Blasio is predicted to win reelection by a landslide. The solely drama in metropolis elections — and it’s not a lot drama — is available in Manhattan, the place late-breaking revelations that District Attorney Cy Vance could have dodged circumstances in opposition to Jared Kushner and Harvey Weinstein impressed a write-in marketing campaign by socialist Marc Fliedner.
New York. In 2009, Republicans gained upset victories within the suburban counties bordering town — Westchester and Nbadau — that presaged 2010’s anti-incumbent wave. Democrats are attempting to win again management of these counties, with a direct anti-Trump marketing campaign in opposition to Westchester’s Rob Astorino and a well-funded race in Nbadau for Democrat Laura Curran. (Last 12 months, Westchester — adopted house of the Clinton household — received bluer, whereas Nbadau joined the remainder of Long Island in rising redder.) Democrats have additionally invested strategically in Syracuse, the place Juanita Perez Williams is operating for mayor.
Utah. The retirement of Jason Chaffetz, now a Fox News pundit, opened up a race within the deep pink Third Congressional District. John Curtis, the center-right mayor of Provo, gained a main over two right-wing candidates, and is favored over Democrat Kathryn Allen, a physician who raised practically $1 million — most of it when Democrats had been giving to wound Chaffetz.
Washington state. The costliest legislative election on this state’s historical past is going down within the 45th Senate district, the place Democrat Manka Dhingra is dealing with Republican Jinyoung Lee Englund. The race will resolve management of your complete state authorities. Really: A Dhingra victory would put Democrats absolutely accountable for Washington, with an bold progressive agenda on deck.
Victories in New Jersey and Washington would put Democrats accountable for eight state authorities “trifectas,” up from six after the 2016 election.
A Republican win in Virginia would give them their 26th trifecta.