How did Biden do it? Comprehensive coalition-driven victory

WASHINGTON (AP) – Former Vice President Joe Biden’s White House victory was driven by a broad and racially diverse coalition of voters driven by furious opposition to President Donald Trump and concern over a booming, deadly epidemic.

In both the Midwest and the Sun Belt, nationwide and on major battlegrounds, Democrats dominated with voters worried about coronoviruses and increased its prevalence, according to the federal government, according to the AP Spotcast, an expanding poll of over 110,000 voters Hungry to do. Nationwide. After four years of political unrest under Trump, Biden won a handful of voters in search of a leader who could unify the country, and who was pushing for racial justice. More than Republican incumbents saw her as empowered and honest, and prepared to stand up for extremism.

“It has to do with decency. This country has gained integrity and hopes that we can find complacency, ”said Kei Nichols, a 73-year-old retired teacher and school principal in a suburb of Brighton, Michigan. “I think Joe Biden can do that and bring kindness.”

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The election eventually emerged as a contest between two conflicting views of America in times of crisis. Biden voters saw a nation in chaos and a void led by the president, while Trump’s supporters believed the economy was roaring back to health and the dramatic political change campaign the president was reaching four years earlier.

“We love our president, we love our constitution, we love everything that he promises and is followed through,” said Anastasia Theodoropoulos in Milor, Scotland. 50-year-old Trump supporter, who is in Pennsylvania.

Biden’s coalition included the apparent prominence of college graduates, women, urban and suburban voters, youth, and black Americans – all groups that have risen to resistance to the Trump presidency. He made good on his promise to win over liberal voters, including some Republicans who disapproved of the president.

Trump, meanwhile, has made his base for white voters without college degrees, rural voters and religious conservatives. According to the survey, in some competing states, such as Nevada and Florida, Trump ate among Latino’s in support of Biden.

Both coalitions reflect a striking racial divide. Roughly 40% of Americans identify as racial minorities, but just 14% of Trump supporters. Biden voters represented America more closely – 63% of their supporters were white, and 37% were people of color.

Linda Wilson, a black woman and Biden voter, said, “We are a force to be spoken of.” “We pray that this is just the beginning.”

Ultimately, Biden’s coalition was large enough to seal a victory for the former Vice President, although Democrats did not expect a commanding majority in the Senate to be secured. Biden’s victory was sealed on Saturday when a narrow victory in Pennsylvania gave him an electoral college majority, after he took the lead on the battlefields in Pennsylvania and Michigan on Wednesday.

Trump refused to refuse and threatened further legal action on the vote.

Biden defeated industrial states by securing core Democratic groups. She won 55% of women nationwide. They had the support of 56% of the voters under 45 and 90% of the black voters. Biden also led among moderate voters with 61%. He overtook Trump in the province, 54% to 44%, and was dominated by nearly two-thirds of voters in urban areas.

And when Trump won white voters overall, Biden ate up his gains among white women and young white voters. And in a sign of a growing education gap between the parties, Biden led a narrow gap between White college graduates, while Trump dominated among white voters without a college degree.

It was a race about to exclude the decision-making supporters – nearly three-quarters said they all knew which candidate they were with.

Nevertheless, both candidates made major efforts to exclude new voters who sat out in 2016 or cast ballots for nominees from the nominal party. The AP votecast shows that voters eventually supported Biden – about 60% of them cast ballots for Democrats nationwide – and made up about 20% of all voters.

Nearly three-quarters of American voters were whites and 55% of them supported Trump. A solid 81% of white evangelical Christians supported him. Males leaned on Biden from 52% to 46%. Trump won 60% of voters living in small towns and rural areas.

Eight months into an epidemic that badly killed black and Latino Americans, Biden voters were more likely than Trump voters to say that they were personally affected by the coronovirus epidemic. And Biden’s campaign was successful in conducting elections regarding the controversial president as well as his leadership on the virus.

For 29-year-old nurse Brittany Walker in Virginia Beach, Virginia, the tipping point was when Trump contracted the virus himself. He cast his vote for Biden.

“To see that Trump was saying he had it… and wore masks without it; For me this is a very big thing, ”said Walker, who works on the hospital floor caring for COVID patients. “How can you show us if you’re not really living it yourself?”

Biden’s message on the virus also resonates in important battlegrounds, especially among those who saw increasing cases of the virus until election days. In Wisconsin, which saw a spike in cases in October, 45% of voters said the epidemic was the top issue facing the country. Voters were more likely to be in control of the epidemic than nationwide.

Half of all voters said that the coronovirus was not under control in the US, casting their ballots as the third wave of infection added to a death toll that has now crossed 236,000. Of these, about 8 to 10 voters supported Biden.

Trump won Biden despite being the preferred candidate to handle the economy, an issue that Trump’s campaign tried to make a top selling point for his reunion. He repeatedly pushed back against public health restrictions that could curb economic growth and make false claims about the state of the economy before the epidemic arrived. Trump’s voters believed the president. Three-quarters of their voters said they felt the economic situation was good or excellent, although only 4 out of 10 voters agreed overall.

“We’ve been living on our 401Ks, and it’s been going up, up, up, for the last four years,” said Bill Roan, a retiree from Snellville, Georgia. “I’m scared of Biden’s tax plan and what’s going to happen with it.”

Throughout the campaign, Trump specifically sought to use racial tension to increase his support among suburban and older voters. He positioned himself as the defender of the police and portrayed protesters demonstrating racial justice and police reform as radical.

While the appeal saw few signs of resonating in smaller cities, it did little to reduce the suburbs. When asked who can address better policing and justice issues, suburban voters – an increasingly racially diverse group – prefer Biden to Trump by a narrow margin.

In the city of Kenkosha, Wisconsin, which saw violence following the police shooting of a black man, Trump’s rhetoric on policing and race was divisive for some of his supporters as well.

Steelworker Jason Beck voted for Trump four years ago because he “just felt it was time for something different”. “And that was a big mistake.”


The AP is a poll of US voters conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for VoteCast, Fox News, NPR, PBS NewsHour, Univision News, USA Today Network, The Wall Street Journal, and The Associated Press. As soon as the voting closed, 110,485 voters were surveyed for eight days. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. The survey mixed a random sample of registered voters drawn from state voter files; Self-registered registered voters using NORC’s prospect-based AmeriSpeak panel, which is representative of the American population; And self-registered registered voters were selected from non-proportional online panels. The margin of sampling error for voters is estimated to be plus or minus 0.4 percentage points. Find out more about the methodology of AP Votecast at


Associated Press writers Corey Williams in Detroit; Zucker Amy Tucker, in Georgia; Ben Finale in Virginia Beach, Virginia; And Juliet Linderman in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania contributed to this report.


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