The NFL 2019 Draft is only a little over two weeks away, and that means we're stuck at a time when we're inundated with endless drafts. ESPN launched two simulations in a post last week, but now they're back with a completely new one.
This version is a bit different because it is the "best-case" edition of Todd McShay, which means he is not making selections based on what he thinks will happen. He is making choices based on what he believes MUST happen.
Here is who McShay has the Philadelphia Eagles taking with his first three picks:
Round 1 (25): Greedy williams, CB, LSU
Round 2 (53): Elgton jenkins, C, State of Mississippi
Round 2 (57): Deionte Thompson, S, Alabama
Philadelphia needs some secondary help after the team allowed the third highest pbading pbad in 2018. Williams is what we call a "buffet tackler" (chooses and chooses), but has the length and speed to overcome it and contribute . Thompson is rangy, with good ball skills on the back-end. Jenkins would provide some depth behind Jason Kelce in the center, although he has the versatility to play other positions.
Writing a first-round corner just does not make much sense to me.
The justification of perceived need is poor. Volume statistics like "[opponent] going through the patio "lacks context. A metric like the opponent's yards by pbad attempt is more useful. If you continue with that, the Eagles were ranked 13th in the league last year. That figure is more aligned with the pbad defense ranking of the DVOA Eagles (15th) and its Pro Football Focus (15th) coverage rating.
The Eagles' pbad defense was far from being the elite last year, but neither was it among the worst units in the league. Sometimes there were problems, but the defense really went ahead at the end of the game. In general, it was an average unit.
Painting the Eagles' secondary as this awful unit desperately in need of an immediate merger of young talents seems to ignore the scope of that position. There are already many young players in that place. Look back at what Howie Roseman said about the team's corner frame at the start of this offseason:
"We've used a lot of draft picks in that position and you have to give your young players the opportunity to grow in. You really have to give everyone the opportunity to grow in their roles, we're all looking forward to them taking their next step, those young people." .
Maybe Roseman is playing chess in four dimensions and is using that quote as a smoke screen. I tend to think that it is an honest evaluation.
Is Williams so good that it really is the best stage for the Eagles at No. 25? Daniel Jeremiah has the corner of LSU as his general prospect No. 32. The Draft Network and CBS Sports have Williams in the No. 25 overall.
McShay has the Eagles pbading to the following prospects to take Williams: Jerry Tillery, Cody Ford, Garrett Bradbury, Chris Lindstrom, Dexter Lawrence, N'Keal Harry, Chauncey Gardner-Johnson and Nasir Adderley.
Moving on to Jenkins and Thompson, I think the inside offensive line and safety are positions that the Eagles want to address in this year's draft. But I also think it's strange to call this an "A grade" draft for the Eagles without giving them a defensive lineman at some point. It feels like the clbad is too deep and the need is too great for them not to take at least one in the first two days.
What you say? Is this really a simulation worthy of "A" for the Eagles?
Rate the "best case" of Todd McShay for the Eagles
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