A yoga instructor in Charlotte, North Carolina, 61-year-old Debbie George said she “desperately” wants Joe Biden to take his battlefield and defeat President Donald Trump in the general election.
But, a lifelong Democrat, George said he has yet to see, Biden not doing enough to bolster support between Democrats and independents to win the state.
He said, “They need to come. They need to address the people of North Carolina. Some kind of socially distorted event, a small conference or roundtable.” “These rehearsals are not cutting speech in front of anyone.”
George’s concerns underscored the battle for turmoil over whether he wanted to win this southern swing state and 15 electoral votes in November.
Interviews with North Carolina voters, current and former party officials, political strategists, pollsters and politics watchdog paint an important battlefield picture that remains within the grasp of an unpopular president, here The economy and protesters demand racial justice, as coronoviruses continue to erode the nation’s health.
There are factors that work in Biden’s favor. He is extremely popular with the state’s large contingent of black voters, a group he would need to carry with Obama-era enthusiasm levels to win, and the number of absentee ballots (which the state voted on Friday Began mailing) requested by registered Democrats has increased. Polls show that she is doing very well with women, suburbs, and suburban women (like George) – groups she will need to step up heavily to achieve victory.
But to capitalize on those possibilities, many sources said, they would need to run ads and make short speeches streamed from Pennsylvania.
“There’s a concern that he needs to be more visible,” said Raley-based Democratic strategist Gary Pearce.
A tight race for Democratic presidential candidates in a tough state
North Carolina was always going to be tough for Biden: Barack Obama’s 2008 victory in the state is the only time a Democratic presidential candidate has done it in the last 44 years. But given that both North Carolina and national elections show that voters feel Biden will handle the coronovirus epidemic better than Trump, many Democrats have high hopes that Biden can recapture that success.
With the general election entering a decisive decline, Biden has increased his travel schedule in recent times. After months of holding only virtual rallies and one-man events within a short drive of his home in Wilmington, Delaware, Biden, Biden gave a speech in Pittsburgh last week and traveled to Kenosha, Wisconsin, where he met Jacob Blake’s family The black man, who was shot seven times in the back by the Kenosha police.
Trump, by contrast, has a more robust itinerary, making regular trips to the battlefields, including several stops in North Carolina, in recent months.
Recent polling showed the race tightening in the state. The latest poll average kept by Fivewhite shows a virtual tie, with Biden leading Trump 48.6 percent to 46.8 percent – a small increase for Biden from the average taken by the recent polling place during the summer.
‘Any single person is a simpler opponent than killer viruses’
Possibly promoting Trump, the sources said, is the fact that North Carolina voters do not appear dissatisfied with their response to COVID-19 because there are voters in other battlegrounds.
A Fox News poll released on Wednesday showed 50 percent of likely voters in North Carolina felt Biden would handle the epidemic better, while 41 percent said they felt the same about Trump. By comparison, the votes of potential voters of Fox News in Arizona (53 percent vs. 36 percent) and Wisconsin (52 percent vs. 35 percent) were released on the same day, showing a high level of confidence in Biden in dealing with the epidemic.
Michael Bitzer, a politician at Catawba College in Salisbury, said, “The president is very hurt here on coronovirus, but almost not in other states.” “I’m not sure that alone puts this state in the blue zone for the presidency.”
However, COVID-19 infection has recently been confirmed in the state. North Carolina has the sixth most confirmed cases in the past seven days and the fifth most deaths from the virus.
Despite the increase, some North Carolina Republicans, who hold steady on their living red this year, said national visibility for Biden, which began during the Democratic National Convention last month, could actually help Trump get out There was a brutal match-up with COVID-19.
“Ultimately an opponent does not have the virus,” said Dallas Woodhouse, former executive director of the North Carolina GOP. “Until recently, it is felt that the president’s rival was a virus, and it was a very difficult environment for him.
“Any single person is a simpler opponent than killer viruses,” he said.
A continued presence by Trump and Pence
Furthermore, the Biden campaign did not have the physical presence of Trump’s campaign.
Since July 27, Trump or Vice President Mike Pence have visited the state five times in the past month – including a surprise visit by both men to the scaled-down Republican National Convention last month – for another visit by Trump to Winston-Salem Tuesday was planned for. Donald Trump Jr. is scheduled to hold the Make America Great Again rally on Thursday in Hendersonville.
The Trump campaign said it has 120 paid employees on the ground in North Carolina and has so far approached 6 million individuals and virtual voters. The campaign has bombed airways in the state with multi-million dollar advertisements that attack Biden – in many cases misleading or unfairly.
By contrast, the Biden campaign has knocked on zero doors, citing the epidemic, not only in North Carolina, but across America, according to their campaign, volunteers have closed campaign literature at the doors. His campaign, however, said it had “hundreds” of virtual programs targeting the state, recruiting more than 3,000 volunteers who had made more than 3.5 million calls to voters in the state and attached answers Carolinians are working with “hundreds of organizers” to. “The campaign pointed to a number of interviews by Biden with local television, as well as major surrogates, as evidence that he had a presence in the state.
The Biden campaign has saturated North Carolina’s airplanes with advertisements – part of its $ 45 million purchase of advertisements on the battlefield – in English and Spanish. Some attack Trump for sowing in the country and exposing his “failures” with black voters, and some have focused on Biden, as well as running mate, Sen. Kamala Harris of California As for black people “committed to listening” and pushing for racial justice. Others promote Biden’s plans to counter epidemics or feature attacks to cut Social Security funds over Trump’s past threats.
However, many experts said that the difference in ground attitudes between the Trump and Biden campaigns is reminiscent of the mistakes made in the 2016 Hillary Clinton campaign in the state and elsewhere.
“In 2016, it didn’t feel like the Clinton campaign took the state seriously, even though they could actually encroach on something and make it a very tight race here,” Bitzer said. “Biden is taking the state seriously, but, like last time, it doesn’t feel like they have a very strong game,” he said, noting that in 2016 the state blackout was significantly reduced.
However, Biden may not have the same problem with black voters, whose high level of support is important. Black voters handed Biden a decisive victory in the Democratic primaries, but some, including those given in interviews in other battlegrounds like Michigan, have insisted they not seek support.
Biden traveled to North Carolina last week.
“I promise you, I’m coming,” he told Rale’s WTVD-TV on Tuesday.
Some positive signs for Biden
Among the overall increase in requests for absentee ballots, according to data conducted by Bitzer in an analysis of North Carolina State Board of Election data, the number of registered Democrats requesting absentee ballots for this year’s election is 18. Which was at this point the same point in the 2016 race. In comparison, registered unaffected requests have multiplied 14 times the 2016 levels, while registered Republicans have made such requests only five times at the 2016 levels.
serious, His analysis showed The number of black voters who have already requested absentee ballots is nearly 30 times higher in 2016, however, according to the proportion of overall ballots requested, the current levels for black voters are Close to 2016 levels twice). A Monmouth University poll of North Carolina voters released Thursday showed 85 percent of black voters in the state’s Biden support, compared to 10 percent for Trump.
However, Bitzer and others said, the rapid increase in absentee ballot requests by voters sparked a desire to support Biden.
“The voter will have to take steps to accept that ballot and with many new absentees potentially, this could be a real problem,” he said.
Trump only last week encouraged people in North Carolina to vote twice in the November election, once by mail and once in person, to test the system – raising doubts and doubts over the validity of the results Increasing their efforts. (It is illegal to vote more than once in an election.)
But another point favorable to Biden is that, while the run-up to the elections has intensified, Trump has yet to lead him to any voting average tracked by FiveThirtyHeight, who as the Democratic nominee in March He has been tracking head-to-head matchups since he emerged.
Because absentee voting has actually begun in the state (the state began mailing absentee ballots on Friday to registered voters who requested them), the current snapshot of the race is an external influence on the final results two months from now. Can be put
Other strategists said that the frequency of Trump and Pence’s state visit should be considered a major warning signal for Republicans.
Democratic strategist Pearce said, “I think Trump and Pence are saying a lot here that they are worried.” “Biden Can Win White House Without Winning North Carolina. Trump Can’t.”
But to do so, Pearce and others insisted, Biden himself would need to gain votes and come.
“There doesn’t have to be anything big,” said stock clerk Maureen Kelly, an airline company in Charlotte, who supports Biden. “But his presence here will make a difference.”