Critics Choice Awards analysis: Maria Bakalova may have more to celebrate than ‘Nomadland’

For the second Sunday in a row, a group of journalists have weighed in on film awards season (this time with a much more polished virtual ceremony). Last week, it was the increasingly controversial Hollywood Foreign Press Association with its 78th Golden Globe. This week, it was the Critics Choice Association with its … well, Our, As I am, full disclosure, a long-time voting member – 26th Critics Choice Awards.

It must be said from the outset that, between the two groups, there is only one person who is also among the nearly 10,000 members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences that will determine the 93 Academy Awards (the nomination vote is currently underway ) – HFPA member Lisa lu – so these results do not directly suggest what the Academy will do.

But, in a season like this, when the members of the Academy have not mixed as usual and are therefore looking, in many cases, for guidance on which films to prioritize, these previous awards could have a greater influence than they are. habitual.

So? CEC voters echoed the HFPA elections in several key categories. Nomadland, the winner of the top Globe of dramas (Borat Post Movie won the award for best Globe for musicals / comedies), was awarded the award for best film and its filmmaker Chloe zhao, who has been the subject of some questionable whispers in recent days, won the award for best director (making her the second female award winner, after The wounded locker‘s Kathryn bigelow).

The Critics Choice awards for best picture and best director have not been great predictors of the corresponding Oscars in recent years: the former was not repeated in four of the last six, while the second was only repeated in four of the last. six, so The Chicago 7 trial (which won the award for best acting ensemble, a good consolation before the SAG awards), Minari (which won awards for best foreign language film, for which it is not Oscar-eligible, and best young actor / actress, for adorable eight-year-old girl.) Alan Kim), et al, should not throw in the towel yet.

The late Chadwick boseman again held off strong competition to win the best actor award for Ma Rainey’s black ass, as expected. (Boseman had been awarded the Globe drama actor, while Borat‘s Sacha Baron Cohen was awarded the comedy / musical actor award). Daniel Kaluuya won best supporting actor for Judas and the Black Messiah, solidifying his position as the man to beat in that race.

The other repeat winner: the score of Soul, composed by Trent reznor, Atticus ross Y Jon batiste.

Even more interesting, however, are the categories in which the CCA and HFPA differed. The best actress of the Globes went to United States vs. Billie Holiday‘s Andra Day (drama) and I care a lot‘s Rosamund pike (musical comedy); CEC voters nominated the first but not the second, and chose to honor Promising young woman‘s Carey Mulligan, a huge boost to his campaign, especially given how much CEC voters liked the Frances McDormand-anchored Nomadland.

Promising young woman‘s Emerald fennell also won the best original screenplay in Judgment‘s Aaron Sorkin, which had won the Globe only script, suggesting that she and her film should not be underestimated.

The other female acting award, best supporting actress, went to Boratbulgarian fugue Maria bakalova. The 24-year-old was forced to compete in one of the leading actress categories at the Globes and lost to Pike; here, she was back in the support race, against formidable vets like Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy), Olivia colman (The father) Y Yuh-jung youn (Minari), and came out the winner. Since the last 13 winners of this Critics Choice Award went on to win the corresponding Oscar, she and her fans have to feel much better than a week ago (when The Mauritanian‘s Jodie foster – who was not nominated for the Critics Choice Award – won the Globe for this category).

Meanwhile, Zhao’s Nomadland The screenplay won the Critics Choice Award for Best Adapted Screenplay, after losing in the Single Screenplay category at the Globes. Palm springs annoying Globe winner Borat in the category of best comedy. Y One night in Miami rose to the board with an award for best song for “Speak Now,” which was composed and performed by Leslie Odom, Jr., also nominated for best supporting actor for the film, headlining, among other tunes, The life ahead“Io Si”, which won the Globe.

Categories “below the line” were everywhere. Nomadland, with its celebrated and lengthy follow-up shot, won the award for best cinematography. Ma Rainey’s black ass won the award for best hairstyle and makeup and best costume design. Mank won the best production design. Judgment Y Metal Sound tied for best edit. Y Beginning prevailed in the VFX category.

Monday morning will bring in the 10 nominees for the Producers Guild of America Award, which should offer much more valuable clues about the thoughts of the Academy members, given that 614 Academy members are producers, the majority from which presumably belong to the PGA, and that the PGA, like the Academy, uses a preferential ballot to select its nominees and winners.

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