Researchers suggested that challenges related to measuring direct and indirect deaths be resolved. COVID-19 Ubiquitous epidemic.
Estimates of deaths from COVID-19 based on death certificate data underestimate the true mortality of the epidemic. Authors at Stanford University School of Medicine, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard TH Chain School of Public Health, and Harvard Medical School describe methods used to assess death tolls from disasters and other pandemics. Can be done to provide accurate picture. -19 The death rate is still rising. This means measuring direct, indirect and additional deaths from COVID-19. Their proposed solution is published in Anal of internal medicine.
Overcoming challenges when calculating direct death would require consensus among health care institutions, medical examiners, and public health agencies. The authors calculated all deaths from pneumonia, influenza-like illness and COVID-19, and subtracted the expected seasonal number of cases of pneumonia and influenza calculated from trends over the past 5 years, as currently done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention goes. (CDC).
For the calculation of indirect deaths, researchers recommend employing the CDC’s “but” theory, which is used when detecting disaster-related deaths: “but for [pandemic], Is the person dead when he / she did? “Expected recommendations from the National Academy of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine can help. It requires publicly available, well-curated historical data with published application programming interfaces, to count more deaths. These According to the authors addressing the issues, our understanding of the epidemic and its impact on human life is important.
The authors of an accompanying editorial of Merck & Co. agree that reliable and timely information about both direct and indirect mortality due to the COVID-19 epidemic is needed. The most accurate data for estimating mortality from any cause in the United States is derived from the National Vital Statistics System (NVSS). It is important to look at these data to inform health and emergency preparedness systems in the United States, they are worth more investment.
“Every Body Count: Measuring COVID-19 Epidemic Mortality”, Matthew V. Kiang, ScD, by MPH; Rafael A. Irisery, PhD; Caroline O. Bucky, DPIL and Sachit Balsari, MD, MPH, 11 September 2020, Anal of internal medicine.
DOI: 10.7326 / M20-3100
“Measuring Epidemic Effects: Vital Statistics by Vital Signs” Julie Louise Gerberding, MD, MPH, 11 June 2020, Anal of internal medicine.
DOI: 10.7326 / M20-6348