The US saw 20% more deaths than expected from March to August, 67% of which was attributed to COVID-19 according to new research.
Researchers at Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU) and Yale University published the findings Tuesday at JAMA, in which they analyzed death data from the National Center for Health Statistics and the US Census Bureau.
“Although overall US death counts continue to increase year-over-year, US deaths have increased by 20% during March – July 2020,” the authors wrote. “COVID-19 was the documented cause of only 67% of these additional deaths.”
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“Contrary to skepticism, who claim that COVID-19 deaths are fake or that the numbers are much lower than in the news, our research, and many other studies on the same subject, to the contrary,” lead author Dr. Steven Wolf, VCU’s director emeritus of the Center on Society and Health, wrote in a university news release.
During the timeframe under study, more than 1.3 million deaths occurred in the US and 225,530 additional deaths (150,541 of which were attributed to COVID-19).
According to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University, COVID-19 deaths in the US are at least 215,549.
During some weeks there was a statistically significant increase in deaths tied to deaths other than heart disease and dementia, such as COVID-19, some of which were associated with an increase in coronovirus cases.
Wolf said some people who were never infected would have died due to epidemic-related disruptions. “These include people with severe emergencies, chronic illnesses such as diabetes that are not properly taken care of, or emotional distress,” the release reads.
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In addition, many states with the highest mortality rates (New Jersey, New York, and Massachusetts) comprise 30% of nationwide excess deaths, but there was an epidemic lasting more than 10 weeks at least. These states “tilted the curve” and brought mortality down, the researchers noted, while other states such as Texas, Florida and Arizona saw longer increases (16–17 weeks) during the summer, according to the study.
“We cannot prove that the reopening of those states gave rise to the summer,” he said. But it is quite likely, ”Wolf said. “And most models predict that there will be more deaths in our country if states do not take a more assertive approach in dealing with the spread of community. Implementing mask mandates and social disturbances if we avoid these charges and major loss of lives Really important. ”
The study’s authors have noted the difficulty related to the virus and undetermined virus spread have contributed to more deaths. The authors also noted several limitations, such as mistakes associated with death certificates and reliance on provisional data.
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