Florida’s offense for the reason that starting of the last decade – in different phrases, since Tim Tebow’s departure – has not been productive. It wasn’t productive earlier than Jim McElwain arrived and it wasn’t productive after he took over because the Gators head coach earlier than the 2015 season.
After the Gators led the nation with 44.eight factors per recreation in 2001, Steve Spurrier’s final 12 months on the job, they didn’t crack the High 10 once more till 2007 below City Meyer, who stored them there three years in a row. Florida slipped to No. 44 in scoring offense in 2010, Meyer’s ultimate season because the Gators head coach, and has not completed within the prime 70 within the six full seasons since.
Florida hasn’t completed higher than No. 100 in scoring offense in three of the final 4 years and, as McElwain leaves after going 22-12 in two and a half years in Gainesville, it’s on tempo to make it 4 out of 5 because the Gators’ 21.Three factors per recreation are an abysmal 110th-most within the nation.
However factors solely inform a part of the story. Right here we take a deeper have a look at simply how inept Florida’s offense was below McElwain over the previous 34 video games, and the way it in comparison with its ineptitude within the a number of seasons earlier than he arrived from Colorado State.
Florida’s protection isn’t innocent right here. That unit carried the Gators to back-to-back SEC East titles in McElwain’s first two seasons as their head coach. However after permitting simply Four.56 and Four.55 yards per play in these two years, the Eighth-best and Seventh-best marks within the nation, respectively, they slipped to No. 85 within the nation at 5.81 yards per play.
And with the protection not capable of lead Florida to victories by itself, the offensive’s lack of ability to make the drastic enhancements it wanted to doomed the Gators, at present Three-Four and coming off a 42-7 loss to rival Georgia. Florida entered the season with a 23.85 score within the preseason mannequin that badigned each FBS workforce a score and projected the result of each FBS recreation this season, good for No. 22 within the nation. It has since dropped to No. 44 with a 18.00 score.
A lot of that decline, in fact, could be defined by the offense’s woes. The Gators are working for a decent 170.9 yards per recreation, No. 59 within the nation, and are averaging Four.55 yards per carry, good for No. 52 within the nation. Earlier than being held to 20 yards on 4 carries in final weekend’s loss to the Bulldogs, freshman Malik Davis ran for at the very least 90 yards in 5 consecutive video games and is averaging a powerful 6.6 yards per carry. The truth is, Davis is certainly one of solely three freshmen within the nation with greater than 70 carries to be averaging at the very least 6.5 yards per carry, the others being Ohio State’s J.Okay. Dobbins and Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor.
However Florida’s pbading badault has been pitiful this 12 months. The Gators are throwing for under 165.7 yards per recreation and averaging solely 6.63 yards per cross, No. 111 and No. 102 within the nation, whereas pbading for under 5 touchdowns this season – greater than solely three different FBS groups (UTEP, Georgia Southern, Military). It’s the largest cause why Florida is barely scoring 21.Three factors per recreation,
A have a look at a complicated metric like EPA (Anticipated Factors Added) tells the same story. Florida’s -6.45 cross EPA is No. 107 within the nation and its -43.45 whole EPA is No. 102. The numbers on McElwain’s complete tenure at Florida are even worse. In these two and a half seasons, the Gators’ 77.05 cross EPA is No. 106 within the nation and, due additionally largely to the dashing difficulties of the final two years, their -114.46 whole EPA is the third-worst within the nation throughout that span.
Below McElwain, Florida has averaged Zero.05 EPA per cross – No. 111 within the nation and fewer than half the nationwide common throughout that point of Zero.12. The identical goes for the Gators’ EPA per carry, -Zero.14, the fifth-fewest within the nation and nicely under the nationwide common of -Zero.04, and their EPA per play of -Zero.04 (fourth-fewest), which additionally falls wanting the nationwide common of Zero.04. In different phrases, whereas McElwain was Florida’s head coach, the common FBS workforce would successfully enhance its anticipated factors on a given drive by Zero.04 factors per play – the Gators have been, on common, lowering its anticipated factors per play by the identical quantity.
Florida averaged about the identical variety of yards per recreation below McElwain (338.Four) because it did within the 5 seasons previous to his hiring (2010-14, 339.6). However as offenses continued to evolve, their whole offense rating really dropped from No. 114 within the 5 seasons earlier than McElwain was employed to No. 124 within the two and a half seasons he was the top coach.
The Gators averaged 5.78 yards per play from 2010-14, however solely 5.19 below McElwain since. That’s attributed to drops in effectivity each throwing the ball (7.34 yards per cross from 2010-14, 6.73 since) and working it (Four.54 yards per carry from 2010-14, Three.79 since). And, most significantly, Florida scored 6.5 fewer factors per recreation below McElwain (23.1) than it did within the 5 seasons earlier than he arrived (29.6), going from No. 84 in scoring offense from 2010-14 to No. 112 within the 34 video games since.
Apart from the off-field drama that will or might not have been the nail within the coffin for McElwain’s time in Gainesville, the Gators’ offense, was among the many worst within the nation below his watch. Florida’s protection being elite the previous two seasons helped it get to the SEC championship recreation the final two years despite the offense’s large struggles – the identical ones McElwain was employed to repair rather less than three years in the past and those whoever follows him will probably be tasked with fixing.