Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary Flames – 4/17/19 NHL – Choice of the playoffs, odds and predictions

The Calgary Flames and Colorado Flames are in game four of their Western Conference quarterfinals series in the Pepsi Center NHL action on Wednesday night.

The Calgary Flames will look for a key victory on the road to regain the local ice advantage after falling behind 2-1 in the series after a 6-2 defeat by Avalanche in the third game on Monday.

Nathan MacKinnon opened the scoring with a pair of goals with 5:08 left to give Colorado a 2-0 lead and Cale Makar increased the lead to 3-0 just 2:28 later. Matt Nieto helped Colorado bet a 4-0 lead with a short hand goal at the start of the second before Sam Bennett finally got Calgary on the board with a power play goal only: 43 later. Mikko Rantanen increased the lead to 5-1 at the end of the second period. Erik Johnson made the 6-1 just: 54 in the third period before T.J. Brodie retired only one: 15 later, but that's the closest Calgary would get when the Avs waited to complete the loss.

Philipp Grubauer got the win to improve to 2-1-0 in the series after stopping 27 of the 29 shots faced in the victory, while Mike Smith finished with the loss, falling to 1-2-0 after allowing all 6 goals in a whopping 56 shots faced in defeat.

Calgary has 1-4 in its last 5 games in general and 3-13 in its last 16 games after losing by 3 goals or more, while the bbad is 8-3 in its last 11 away games. Colorado has a 7-0 record in their last 7 home games and 10-4 in their last 14 games overall, while the bbad is 9-2 in their last 11 games after a win. Calgary has 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Colorado.

I'm tempted to side with Calgary, since you have to think that the Flames should recover here, especially because of the way the offense did not show up in game three. However, the Flames lost six games for three or more goals in the regular season, and the next game in five of those six situations resulted in a loss. Sure, the playoffs are a different beast, but the Flames take a little longer to get back on their feet after getting kicked in the bad. Colorado was the best team in the third game, and they are starting to look like a legitimate threat in this series, if they were not. I think Colorado and the low line deserve a visit as a value game on Wednesday.

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