CNN poll: Biden leads in Pennsylvania and tight race in Florida remains

Elections that completed fielding two weeks before election day found a large minority of voters saying they had already voted, with those voters breaking heavily for Biden in both states. Those who have not yet cast their ballots, however, are in favor of Trump, but not as big a difference as Biden among those who have just voted.

In Florida, which has 29 electoral votes and is an important battleground in the presidential race, 50% of likely voters say they return Biden, 46% to Trump. The difference between the two is correct in the poll’s poll, which means there is no clear leader in the survey.

The Pennsylvania results show Biden well in the state, with 20 electoral votes, with 53% of likely voters and 43% supporting Trump.

According to both surveys, Biden has a double-digit advantage over Trump for handling outbreaks of coronovirus (42% in Pennsylvania to Biden and 53% to Biden in Florida to 43% for Trump), and the same for handling This is the truth. Racial inequality in America (58% in Pennsylvania, 39% Trump in Biden and 54% in Florida, 42% Trump in Biden). In both states, he has a small edge over Trump for handling the nomination to the Supreme Court (51% to 45% in Pennsylvania, 50% to 46% in Florida). Biden is seen more often as a candidate who would unite the country rather than divide it (56% Biden 39% Trump in Florida and 58% Biden 35% Trump in Pennsylvania), and take care of people like you As (55%) Biden 42% Trump in Pennsylvania and Biden 43% Trump in Florida).

In Pennsylvania, Biden gains an edge in having a clear plan to solve the nation’s problems (50% Biden to 42% Trump) and to keep Americans from harm (51% Biden to 46% Trump). also includes.

In Florida, margins on those two matrices are very tight, with 49% saying Biden has a clear plan to solve the nation’s problems. 45% of what Trump says, and 49% that Biden would protect Americans from harm vs. 47. % Saying Trump will do.

Trump relied more on Biden on the economy in Florida, with 51% saying they preferred Trump vs. 46% of Biden. In Pennsylvania, however, both also pass on the question, with 50% saying they trust Trump more, 48% Biden.

The new surveys are consistent with other high-quality turnout in both states in recent times. In Florida, the CNN Poll of Poll shows Biden in 49% support and Trump on 44% in the average state. The current average of high-quality voting in Pennsylvania also reflects the Biden lead, with 52% behind the former Vice President and 43% of the current President.

Among those who have already voted in both states, Biden has gained wide advantage, but Trump is among those who have not yet cast ballots in both states. In Pennsylvania, where pre-election turnout has not been a major factor in previous elections, Biden leads by 88% to 10% among nearly one-quarter of voters who have already cast ballots. But of those who have not yet voted, 54% back Trump, 42% Biden.

There is also a difference between these two groups in Florida, where most of the ballots in presidential elections since 2008 have come through pre-election voting. About 35% of potential voters say they have already cast a ballot there, and 71% of those with that group say they returned to Biden, 27% Trump. Those who have yet to cast a ballot for Trump from 56% to 40%.

Surveys also suggest that Trump supporters have more enthusiasm for voting as it is among Biden supporters in both states. In Florida, 58% of Trump voters say they are excited about voting this year, compared to 49% of Biden voters. In Pennsylvania, the gap is narrow, with 61% of Trump voters saying they are extremely enthusiastic about the 56% turnout among Biden voters.

Biden is prominent in both states among women, voters of color, and voters aged 65. The men split evenly in Pennsylvania but broke up for Trump in Florida. Voters for Biden in both states are under 35, but in Pennsylvania voters between the ages of 35 and 49 lean in the way of Biden, while they tend to lean toward Trump in Florida.

In Pennsylvania, there is a large divide among white voters through education, with white voters who have four-year college degrees supporting Biden over Trump with a margin of 63% to 35%, while Those who are not in favor of the degree have a 59% lead over Trump. 35% margin from. The division is smaller in Florida, where White college-graduating voters are evenly divided, 49% behind each candidate.

In Florida, white voters typically break in favor of Trump, while Biden is narrower in Pennsylvania than leads with voters of color (66% 30% Biden in Florida compared to Trump 83% Biden 13 in Pennsylvania % Compared to Trump). In Florida, the poll shows that Biden shows Hillary Clinton’s performance in the state with 52% backing and 45% Trump undermining Hillary Clinton’s performance and 45% Trump (62% of this group, Clinton from there Won according to exit poll).

The president’s approval rating among potential voters reflects his overall support in the presidential race. In Pennsylvania, 44% approve of Trump’s presidential deal; It is 45% in Florida.

Telephones from October 20 between random samples of adults in both states and CNN polls in Pennsylvania were conducted from October 15. In Florida, interviews were conducted with 1,002 adults, including 847 potential voters. In Pennsylvania, interviews were conducted with 1,015 adults, including 843 potential voters. The result is a sample error of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points among potential voters in both states. It is high among subgroups.


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