A month-long fall, following the events of a long summer, reached the end of this week to encourage milestones: hospitals have been cut by more than half since a peak in late July. Perhaps more important, the number of people battling the virus in intensive care units has been the lowest since April 2.
“It looks better, it’s moving in the right direction,” UCSF epidemiologist Dr. George Rutherford said on Monday. “We are trying to reduce cases, trying to be hospitalized, trying to reduce mortality, and all those things are decreasing. Instead there is a random event in the universe … All of this is governed by human behavior. People wearing masks and socially distant. It’s all good. ”
Local and state officials imposed new restrictions on businesses and outdoor activities starting in late June to prevent a boom that began after Memorial Day, and more actively encouraged safe behavior. Recently, however, those restrictions are being reduced as cases, hospitals and deaths decline.
According to the latest update from the California Department of Public Health, on April 10, 2,869 patients across the state were hospitalized with the virus. Its lowest level since April 10 was in the ICU.
Southern California saw a dramatic drop in the number of hospital beds used by people sick with coronoviruses, resulting in a 40% reduction in hospitalizations in the past two weeks in Orange County.
Four of the largest counties – Orange, San Bernardino, Riverside and Los Angeles – had returned to practically pre-summer levels, although they are still hospitalized in most of the state. For example, Los Angeles hospitalized more than 65% of its peak patients since mid-July.
Very few patients are hospitalized in the San Joaquin Valley, where the quake’s epicenter moved in late summer compared to the Bay Area for the first time since May, despite its 4.3 million population being nearly half of the Bay Area.
And in the Bay Area, 502 patients in hospital beds were the lowest since July 2, although the decline here has not been as dramatic.
“I am not happy to see where we were back in April in terms of the number of cases a day,” said Dr. John Swartzberg, an infectious disease specialist at UC Berkeley School of Public. Health.
With another 2,271 cases on Sunday, the state reported the number of cases last week at its peak by 36% and two weeks earlier by 36%. The rate of test-positivity also continued to decrease by 3.5% compared to Sunday – less than half its rate and a double-digit drop in two weeks.
Over the past few weeks, with the exception of NAPA, the number of cases in Bay Area counties has declined, with a small increase seen. Those numbers were also encouraging to Swartberg.
“I think you can predict with confidence, given the decline in Napa County last week and dramatically, that we will see a decrease in deaths a month from now.” “Having said that, the problem will be whether we are seeing a decrease in deaths at the same time?
After 30 people died in records recorded on Friday, there were another 17 in the Bay Area on Sunday, including a dozen in Alameda County. It was the second time in three days that Alameda County reported double-digit deaths two more days after the previous week.
Nevertheless, Alameda County, which has the largest number of deaths of any Bay Area local at 332, is only ranked ninth on the state list, with COVID-19 being the highest. No other county has had 300 deaths in the region, and just two others – Santa Clara and Contra Costa – crack the top 15 in the state.
In total, there were 53 new fatalities on Sunday, led by San Bernardino 18, 12 in Alameda and 11 in Los Angeles. Kern County also reported six deaths, while three in Santa Clara County and one each in Contra Costa and San Francisco.
The 17 deaths in the Bay Area brought the total to more than 1,300, but it equaled a fraction of statewide deaths.
According to data compiled by this news organization, the Bay Area makes up about 9% of its COVID-19 deaths, which were 14,385 as of Sunday, despite having about 20% of California’s population.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles County accounted for more than 40% of the state – 6,208 as of Sunday – despite making up about 25% of its population.