On paper, New York’s mayor, Bill de Blasio, has a near-dream résumé to take the helm of the Bernie Sanders wing of the Democratic occasion.
His far-left bona fides, as an unapologetic supporter of the socialist Nicaraguan Sandinistas within the 1980s and somebody who actually honeymooned in Cuba through the embargo, are unimpeachable. So, too, are his mainstream Democratic credentials, after he labored as an aide for the previous New York mayor David Dinkins earlier than managing Hillary Clinton’s profitable 2000 Senate bid.
He’s additionally a winner, by no means having misplaced an election after three metropolis council races, the 2009 election for New York City’s public advocate, and his run for the mayorship in 2013. Polling means that De Blasio will comfortably earn re-election as New York mayor on Tuesday and preserve that profitable streak.
When he does, he’ll enter his fifth yr with town solvent, crime low, and a great deal of his 2013 marketing campaign guarantees delivered. He’ll additionally enter with out a lot of the luster he introduced with him to metropolis corridor the primary time round, as a possible standard-bearer of the Democratic occasion’s left flank. Then, again in these pre-Sanders days, De Blasio’s leftist, standard attraction introduced him a global profile, and he appeared destined to turn out to be the chief of a brand new left motion inside the Democratic occasion.
“In 2013, he was among the stars of the progressive movement, but it’s like sports teams. On paper, they can look wonderful. Then they get on the field and it’s a different story sometimes,” mentioned Doug Muzzio, a political scientist at Baruch College who makes a speciality of metropolis politics. “There just seems to be something about his persona that turns people off.”
A cussed refusal to help such symbols of New York because the Yankees – he grew up in Boston and roots for the Red Sox – and the lauded elevated park the High Line might not have helped. “It is just a big open viewing station – that’s all it does?” he requested of 1 part of the West Side park constructed on former practice tracks throughout his first go to, this September. “I am a crazed, rabid baseball fan and Red Sox fan,” he has mentioned firmly of his baseball loyalties. “It is constitutionally impossible to quote unquote ‘root’ for the New York Yankees.”
New York mayors have usually marshalled profiles that attain nicely past the 5 boroughs. Rudy Giuliani basked within the movie star of the man who “cleaned up” New York all through the 1990s and embraced the “America’s mayor” label after 9/11. He was Time’s particular person of the yr in 2001.
His three-term successor, the billionaire Michael Bloomberg, introduced his title recognition to the workplace from the enterprise world and his Bloomberg information media retailers. He maintained a equally excessive profile past New York and used the visibility of the mayor’s workplace to advocate for nationwide points akin to gun management. Bloomberg mulled a presidential run as a centrist impartial in 2016 and Giuliani made a failed bid for the Republican presidential nomination in 2008.
De Blasio has refused to reply questions on whether or not he might need his sights set on such a transfer, and his forays into the world past town since 2013 have been uninspired. He proposed a progressives caucus in Iowa forward of the 2016 Democratic main caucus there, which promptly fell by means of. He withheld his endorsement of his former boss Hillary Clinton till late, reportedly dithering between her and Sanders, to seek out that Clinton’s marketing campaign didn’t worth all of it that a lot.
But by nearly any measure, issues within the metropolis are good. “If you look at the numbers, things are moving in the right direction. Employment is up. Unemployment is down. Poverty is moving down, not dramatically, but moving in the right direction. Earnings are up,” mentioned Joseph Viteritti, creator of The Pragmatist: Bill de Blasio’s Quest to Save the Soul of New York, including that crime additionally remained down regardless of the claims from his opponents on the suitable that his election would usher in a brand new crime wave. Critics say his feud with the New York state governor, Andrew Cuomo, additionally a Democrat, has meant much-needed enhancements to town’s creaking subway system have been gradual to reach. On problems with homelessness and reasonably priced housing, the mayor admits not sufficient of his agenda has been met, however he’s racked up extra wins than losses.
De Blasio was in a position to push by means of his signature marketing campaign promise, common pre-kindergarten for metropolis pupils early on in 2015 with out an excessive amount of rankling. He put one other feather in his cap by negotiating union contracts for the entire metropolis’s almost 300,00zero robust workforce, one thing Bloomberg had kicked down the street for years. The metropolis has upped its minimal wage, handed necessary sick depart, and in 2014 turned one of many first cities to flaunt federal immigration enforcement, pbading “sanctuary city” laws – all straight out of the progressive agenda playbook.
The mayor hasn’t been shy in describing his disappointment at how his tenure has been obtained. His favorability score hovers round 50% in polling. “When I think about how crime’s gone down for four years, graduation rates up, test scores are up, more jobs than ever in our history – I think, wow, just that quick profile, any candidate anywhere would want it. You’d badume they’d be having parades out in the streets. But that’s not the time in history that we’re living in,” he informed New York Magazine final week.
It hasn’t been a scandal-free administration, both, with allegations of “pay to play” favoritism for marketing campaign donors, and a conclusion by prosecutors that whereas De Blasio didn’t break marketing campaign finance legal guidelines, he “violated the spirit” of them by channeling donations right into a political motion committee.
He has additionally attracted criticism all through his time period from the New York media for power lateness to occasions, and for commuting from the governor’s mansion to his previous health club in Brooklyn, about 12 miles away. In the grand scheme of electoral politics, nonetheless, these are fairly venial trespbades.
De Blasio has additionally confronted criticism of a extra private nature, for failings as a politician that transcend coverage element. Indeed, for somebody who has spent his complete profession in politics, it doesn’t appear to come back too naturally to de Blasio. Early profiles throughout his unbelievable 2013 run have been liberal with using phrases like “gawky” and “awkward”. He doesn’t personal an innate everyman gene like George W Bush, he’s not an particularly gifted orator like Barack Obama, nor does his power, even when his rhetoric is pointed, appear to bad individuals right into a fervor, a la Donald Trump.
He can come off as aloof, even when he seems by each measure to be making an attempt his hardest to attach. By his personal admission, he’s extra taskmaster than glad-hander. “I was always very detail-oriented,” he informed the New York Times in a printed interview final week. “I tend to be very much about the physical manifestation of our vision, so I want to hear how we’re going to get from A to Z. Give me exact numbers, exact timelines, etc.”
That’s earned him the label from some as a “micromanager”, one town’s conservative tabloids, the New York Post, gleefully mentions in recurring entries about his “corrosive, cumbersome management style”, and its influence on town’s day-to-day affairs.
Of course, New York conservatives are supposed to seek out fault with the administration and search for threads to tug. It’s the disillusionment of liberals within the metropolis that has exerted extra critical downward strain on De Blasio’s profile on the nationwide stage.
Bob Gangi, a longtime New York progressive activist who ran in opposition to De Blasio within the democratic main this yr, voted for him in 2013 however was deeply pissed off by the route of the administration.
“He’s a sham progressive on critical issues,” Gangi mentioned. “If you’re a true progressive, you’ve got to take on vested interests. And he has just not done that in any meaningful way.”
Gangi, the longtime director of the Police Reform Organizing Project, Prop, pointed to regulation enforcement for instance. As a candidate in 2013, De Blasio ran in opposition to “stop-and-frisk”, the police tactic of creating “random” pedestrian stops with out possible trigger as a technique of crime prevention and deterrence. In apply, stop-and-frisk led to disproportionate stops of black and Latino residents and located very low charges of prison habits.
Gangi proposed actually progressive mayor would have pushed at no cost and decreased transit fares for low-income individuals, and pushed the NYPD to cease making arrests for fare evaders. “Instead, the arrest for fare evasion is the second or third most common arrest that the NYPD conducts, and over 90% are people of color,” Gangi mentioned. “That is the policy choice that he has made that inflicts harm daily on the people that he supposedly gets credit for representing and fighting for. And I can’t even see the political reason for doing it.”
Media and favorability rankings apart, New York City is aware of, because it did 4 years in the past, that Bill de Blasio will nearly definitely emerge from its basic election as town’s mayor. What’s much less clear this time is what his chances are high of rising over the subsequent 4 years as a participant on the ascendant nationwide progressive stage. Then once more, he’s overwhelmed the percentages earlier than.
“In 2013, he was seen as a long shot,” Viteretti mentioned. “I wouldn’t underestimate him.”