Biden gives Trump a 13-point lead in Pennsylvania

Arrogant Democratic Candidates Joe BidenJoe Bidenbiden Campaign Talks Trump’s Rose Garden Event as a ‘Sad Case’, CNN cuts away from Trump’s ‘campaign-type’ Rose Garden speech adds new closure to Trump’s crisis The clue President TrumpDonald John Trump Ivanka Trump on Goya Foods’ products on Twitter and said ‘I leave office with my integrity’ Former White House physician Ronnie Jackson scored more in Texas 13 points among registered voters in Pennsylvania according to a new poll.

Pennsylvania’s Monmouth University poll found Biden to be 53 percent, 40 percent unspecified, and 3 percent, compared to Trump, saying they would vote for someone else.

Ninety percent of Democrats say they support Biden, compared to 84 percent of Republicans who say they support Trump, who won Pennsylvania by less than 1 point in 2016 and after 1988 Became the first GOP presidential candidate to take over the state. More than 20 points, 54 to 33 among independents.

Biden also leads 54 to 35 percent in so-called “swing counties”, where the race was closest in 2016. Biden leads the counties with 68 to 26 percent. Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonDomocrat Danna Ballater to face rape. John Katko in NY House Rematches GOP Lawmaker: Don’t Believe Trump Behind Biden Kel Show that Water Day Wins New York GOP Primary to Challenge Rep. Antonio Delgado More. Won by a wide margin, while Trump led 55 to 40 percent of the easily won counties in 2016.

Biden leads 30 points among voters under 50 and leads 10 points among voters over 65 years of age. The president leads by 13 points among voters between 50 and 65 years old.

Trump has a 16-point lead among white voters without a college degree. Biden leads 27 points among whites with college education. He leads by 60 points among racial minorities.

Republican Representative. Mike kellyGeorge (Mike) Joseph Kelly. Hill’s campaign report: Maine races take shape in Alabama, Texas, Maine Republican says Biden Energy Plan will help GOP in Rust Belt. (Penn.) Said this week that voting in Pennsylvania cannot be trusted because they do not take into account the support of Trump who went out to vote in 2016 for the first time.

Kelly argued that the “potential voter” model used by many voters is not sampling those first-time voters.

But Trump actually does better than Monmouth’s “potential voter” model when he tests all registered voters in the state.

When Monmouth considered a high-turnout election of potential voters in Pennsylvania, Biden was ahead by 10 points. When Monmouth polled potential voters less, Biden’s lead dropped to 7 points.

“Even taking into account any polling errors from four years ago, Biden is clearly doing well in the swing areas,” said Monmouth pollster Patrick Murray. “Democrats have roots in the region that may help him, but there seems to be an overall erosion of support for Trump compared to 2016.”

Trump and Republicans have also argued that there is a “social desirability bias” in the polls because so-called “shy” Trump voters are embarrassed to admit that they support the president out of fear of their family, friends or Will be humiliated by colleagues. .

A Monmouth poll found that 57 percent of all voters in Pennsylvania believe there are secret Trump voters in their community.

Twenty-four percent of the registered voters said they were surprised when Trump won in Pennsylvania in 2016, and manipulators are evenly divided over who believes they will win the state in 2020.

“The media constantly reports that Biden is prominent, but voters remember what happened in 2016,” Murray said. “Viewer of a secret Trump vote is big in 2020.”

Biden’s lead in the new Monmouth poll was larger than in other recent elections. RealClearPolitics leads Biden Pennsylvania by 7 points in average. A recent poll by the Trafalgar Group, which accounts for the so-called “shy” Trump voters, found Biden ahead by 5 points.

The Monmouth survey of 401 registered voters in Pennsylvania was conducted between July 9 and July 13, with a margin of 4.9 percentage points.