Intensive care unit availability in the Bay Area rose to 23.4% on Saturday after weeks of single-digit availability, a strong indication that the worst boom is in the past.
However, it was not immediately clear how the region could emerge from the state’s housing order. The order should be dropped when the ICU availability is estimated to be more than 15%, taking four weeks ahead.
The Bay Area, which includes the nine core counties as well as the Monterey and Santa Cruz counties, is currently beyond that limit.
The 13-county Sacramento area was locked in a closed state for more than a week. But ICU capacity for that region remains at 11.9% – more than half the current figure for the Bay Area.
State public health officials could not immediately be reached Saturday to comment on when the lockdown for the Bay Area could be lifted, and why the Bay Area remained on lockdown while Sacramento – with worse ICU numbers – was not.
The numbers are looking good, Matt Willis, a Marin County public health officer, told The Chronicle on Saturday that he expects the Bay Area lockdown to increase in the near future.
“It’s the state’s call,” he said. “But we are all seeing the same number and we are all feeling hopeful.”
London Breed, the mayor of San Francisco, said on Friday that the city could “soon reopen under California guidelines” as the city’s coronovirus transmission rate declined.
“This means that for every person who receives COVID-19, on average they are giving it to less than one other person. We are slowing down the spread, ”Breed wrote on Twitter.
San Francisco’s COVID-19 fertility rate is less than 1, at 0.99!
This means that for every person who receives COVID-19, on average they are giving it to less than one other person. We are slowing down the spread.
If this continues, we may soon resume under the guidelines of CA.
– London Breed (@london) January 22, 2021
The lifting of the lockdown would allow the Bay Area to resume activities permitted under the state’s Purple Tier, including outdoor dining. Outdoor ceremonies can also be resumed with people outside your home – although with a three-household-maximum ban. The hair salon can resume serving customers. However, individual counties may decide to continue to restrict some of these activities, aside from state orders.
California health officials use a complex formula that has not been made public to anticipate four weeks of ICU availability. “The estimates are not being shared publicly at the moment,” Ali Bay, a spokesman for the Department of Public Health, said in an email to The Associated Press.
When the Sacramento area order was lifted, ICU availability was around 9%.
The lack of state clarification has led to confusion, and vice versa for what the state should do, said David Manepo County President of Supervisors David Canepa.
He said that the information should be clear, concise and most importantly to avoid confusion.
The number looked encouraging, however, Canappa said.
He said, “My concern is that the public will listen to it and think it safe to go out with a business with a general view.” “I also want to dine at my favorite restaurant, but now I will stay home and takeout. If we can put these numbers down next month, I say bravo. I go to the barber shop to get a haircut Will be in the first line. “
“Meanwhile,” he said, “stay home if you can, avoid the gathering and wear your damn mask.”
This story is developing.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.