At the current pace, it will likely take enough people to take the vaccine in “well 2022” to stop the virus, health officials say


On Friday, there was good news and bad news on the La Kovid-19 front. On one hand, the key numbers were virtually down across the board. On the other hand, there was another surge of concern, with authorities worrying about virus variants and sputtering vaccine rollout of the area.

Los Angeles County Chief Science Officer Drs. “Cases have increased to about 15,000 a day and are now heading towards a decline,” said Paul Simon.

Over time limit

The daily number of Kovid-19 deaths reported by the county was announced on Friday, with 256 fatalities. It numbered 200 for the third straight day, with 262 fatal incidents recorded on Wednesday and the third on Wednesday.

The county reported another 9,277 cases, but health officials noted on Thursday that the average daily number of new cases had fallen by 30% in the previous week.

The most recent data provided from the state showed 7,073 people hospitalized in the county, including 1,687 in intensive care. This is a significant drop from the more than 8,000 patients reported in early January and the number of hospitalizations of the virus will be reduced to less than 7,000 for the first time this year.

“Despite these promising trends,” Simon said, “I would like to emphasize that the number of cases, hospitals and deaths is very high. As long as there is reason to be expected, we should all be vigilant and remain disciplined. needed. “

Simon also noted that despite a triumph of 7,730 vaccinations on Thursday at Dodger Stadium earlier this week, the county was struggling to administer vaccines. He accused the dose shortage on hand and continued to be uncertain about future allocations. He said the county’s large-scale vaccination sites opening this week – capable of delivering 4,000 shots per day – will operate at much lower capacity next week, which is likely to be just 2,000 to 2,500 vaccinations per day. Why?

The county expects to receive approximately 143,900 more doses of the vaccine next week. However, people are required to receive two doses of the drug, plus three to four weeks are given, the bulk of the vaccine coming next week will be used to give a second dose to those who received the first shot. Have done. Director of Public Health Barbara Ferrer previously estimated that only 37,900 people would be able to receive their first dose out of the next week’s dose.

Simon said on Friday that the most recent data showed 441,140 doses of the vaccine had already been administered in the county, though he said the number was much higher due to delays in completing vaccination formulations. As of this week, the county had received approximately 853,000 total doses.

Simon said that people should not look at those numbers and assume there are 400,000 unused doses in the county, with re-vaccination reports and no gaps in the daily administration of the dose. He also said that the need for the drug to be used as the second dose for people who already have
Received first shot.

If the county’s weekly allocation does not dramatically increase beyond the current average of about 150,000, “vaccination efforts will likely increase well into 2022,” Simon said.

“We are hoping that vaccine production and shipments to California will increase,” he said. “We have a new federal administration that has pledged to do so. We also hope that several other vaccine manufacturers will obtain federal authorization for the emergency use of their vaccines in the coming months, and this will help increase supplies to California and Los Angeles counties. “

He added that if its allocation to the county could increase to 500,000 per week, “we would have the capacity to reach 75% of the adult population in the county or 6 million adults by mid-summer.”

Meanwhile, he urged patience, saying, “We understand that it is important to get vaccinated as soon as possible.”

Despite the declining Kovid case numbers and hospitalizations, a rapid vaccine rollout was underlined by growing reports about new virus variants – some in California – that are more contagious and potentially less susceptible to current vaccines. Can occur.

City News Service contributed to this report.

Best of time frame

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