The nation now has more than 263,000 deaths since the onset of the epidemic. According to a forecast published this week by the US Center for Disease Control and Prevention, about 60,000 people could lose their lives in the next three weeks.
Traditionally spent seasons with family and friends will double the number of daily deaths in the next 10 days, promoting a sense of loss and isolation.
George Washington University Professor of Medicine Drs. Jonathan Rainer said on Wednesday, “We are seeing close to 4,000 deaths a day. This could cause you 60,000 deaths in just 20 days.”
Professor of Infectious Diseases at Vanderbilt University, Drs. William Scheffner said Wednesday, “In a week, in two weeks, we will see a boom.” “We are in for a hard time.”
The reported figures in the days immediately after the holiday will likely appear after a drop in the number of Kovid-19 cases. This reflects the lagging of government agencies in reporting over the long weekend. And with incubation times of coronoviruses and how long it takes someone to test positive, cases related to Thanksgiving are unlikely to start showing up in public data until the first full week of December.
In other words, projections for the coming weeks are grim. But this does not mean that it is too late to start turning things.
“It got all of us, wearing masks and causing social disturbances, we could bend this curve within two or three weeks,” Scheffner said. “We will actually see transmission decrease before vaccination.”
What will it take to turn the tide
While a potential vaccine candidate may soon receive a green light, the broader effects of a vaccine are still months away. Still, Americans have valuable equipment that can help in the meantime.
They have been the security measures the authorities have been avoiding for months – practicing good hygiene such as face masks, social disturbances, crowd avoidance and regular hand washing.
Meanwhile, in West Virginia, Gov. Jim Justice has asked residents in recent weeks to cover the face, with the mask being “the only bullet in the gun.”
“If you are unable to, if you don’t believe it, please wear it … what is the downside,” Justice said at a press conference this week. “Look, we are not there to take anyone’s rights. My good lord, I get it with all my heart, we don’t want to do it in any way. But you will help me.”
The message that needs to be echoed by local leaders across the country is Dr. Dean of Tropical Medicine at the Boiler College of Medicine. Peter Hotez told CNN on Thursday morning.
“Keep saying it every day and hope that some people really start believing in it. Our only hope at this point is. We’ve got to limit those bounce, and we need those local leaders to step up Is needed, so it is absolutely critical., “She said.
This is the only option that can help keep more people alive until a vaccine, he said.
Hotz said, “It is a matter of keeping your mother, your father, your brother, your sister alive between now and then.” “If we can just remove those messages.”
Florida places restrictions on cities
But masks remain the subject of controversy in many parts of the US.
Florida government Ron Desantis made an order this week prohibiting municipalities from issuing fines for violations of epidemiological regulations – such as masked mandates – or limiting the capacity of restaurants without justification.
“It is a deep disappointment that @GovRonDeSantis is making it harder for local leaders to block and protect our communities for local leaders,” Kawa wrote.
“I’m asking to work with local mayors so that we can bring our local knowledge to the table,” Kava said. “We need to work together in this moment of crisis to formulate policies that protect all our families and our economy.
According to Johns Hopkins University data, Florida has had more than 56,400 new infections and more than 520 deaths in the past week.
CNN has reached out to DeSantis’ office for comment.
Only 1 in 8 American Kovid-19 cases can be counted
In total, more than 12.8 million Americans have tested positive for the virus since the onset of the epidemic. But a new study suggests that it may account for only a small fraction of the true number of infections in the US.
Only eight – or about 13% — of all Kovid-19 infections in the country were recognized and reported by the end of September, researchers at the CDC estimate. Researchers said that more than 53 million people in the US could be infected through February to September – yet during that time, about 7 million confirmed confirmed Kovid-19 cases were reported nationally.
To estimate the number of Kovid-19 cases left by the onset of the epidemic, researchers used a model to adjust the number of symptomatic cases in the US. They considered what is known about the detection of cases, asymptomatic infection, caregiver patients or not and the risk of false negative test results.
Limitations of the study included that test availability and usage have changed over time and that their findings serve only as hypotheses.
Although the number may seem large, the researchers wrote, it still “indicates that about 84% of the US population has not yet been infected and thus most countries are at risk despite high rates of hospitalization” Huh.”
CNN’s Ben Tinker, Ivan Simko-Bednarsky, Jacqueline Howard, Melissa Alonso, Amanda Watts and Lauren Mascarenhas contributed to this report.