Climate alarms are pointing to specific extreme weather events on global warming, in which they emphasize that “there will be almost no chance of this happening without human-induced climate change.”
“The planet is indicating that it is in crisis,” a Reuters article announced Thursday. “In recent weeks, the world has seen ferocious wild animals in the US West, torrential rains in Africa, strangely warm temperatures on the surface of tropical oceans, and heat waves from California to the Siberian Arctic.”Whereas in recent years, a certain perimeter has caused scientists to attribute weather-specific events to climate change, which is beginning to change, the article suggests.
Joe Biden / YouTube
Event attention – or the ability to accurately link a given weather event to man-made global warming – is considered at best and completely unbelievably risky, even according to true believers .
At a meeting of climate scientists in Oxford in 2012, one participant argued that given the insufficient observational data and largely incomplete climate models used to generate claims, they are “improperly speculative, base forms.” Are unimaginable and no better. ”Nature The magazine felt compelled at the time to conclude that “better events are needed before extraordinary events can be reliably linked to global warming.”
Apparently, some alarmists feel that the time has finally come.
“We are seeing the emergence of some signals that would have almost no chance of happening without human-induced climate change,” said climate scientist Sonia Seneviratne from the Swiss University ETH Zurich.
He said, “It seemed like an established truth that you cannot call a particular extreme weather event less and less true for weather change.”
Not all scientists agree, of course.The official website states that “the accusation of an extreme event can tell us whether global warming has made an event more serious or not, but it cannot tell us whether global warming is an event or not.” Of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
One of the central problems with extreme phenomena is that it is based on model and simulation rather than observation and fact. Because it works in probability rather than on direct, measurable causality, it provides no scientific evidence of causation and will always require trust.Suspicions of extreme events always point to historical climate change – some of them on a larger scale – as well as past extreme weather events and ask questions: before humans begin emitting greenhouse gases in any significant way How was it possible?
Another question is why only some extreme weather events are not increasing, but are stabilizing or decreasing.
In late August, well-known climate activist Michael Schellenberger reported that the frequency of storms is not increasing and that “deaths from natural disasters are at their lowest point in 120 years.”Unlike the publicity found in the mainstream media, Mr. Schellenberger – A. Time Written in the environmental magazine Hero and winner of the 2008 Green Book Award – written in Forbes That “storms, floods, and other natural disasters are not getting worse. They are getting better. Much better.”
Last June, Schellenberger caused an uproar when he issued a public apology on behalf of climate scientists and environmentalists for fearing the magnitude of global warming.
On behalf of environmentalists everywhere, “I would like to formally apologize for the climate we have created over the last 30 years,” he wrote.
Schellenberger wrote that as an expert reviewer for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), “I feel obligated to apologize for how much we environmentalists have misunderstood the public.”
In his essay, Schellenberger lists 12 climate “myths” that have been dug into the modern psyche, but which have no basis in scientific fact.
“Man is not causing a ‘sixth mass extinction,” he wrote; The Amazon “is not the world’s lungs,” and climate change “is not making natural disasters worse.”
“There has been a 25% drop in worldwide fire incidents since 2003,” he said, and we currently use as much land for meat as in “an area nearly as large as Alaska.” Declined. ”
Seeing how frightened and utterly misleading people are about the reality of climate change, Schellenberger issued an extended formal apology in the form of a book for environmentalist “phobia”, Apocalypse Never: Why Environmental Alarmism Troubles Us All.