Home / Sports / 2017 NFL MVP Survey: Tom Brady leaves Carson Wentz as favorite for Week 14

2017 NFL MVP Survey: Tom Brady leaves Carson Wentz as favorite for Week 14



It's a great week for the MVP survey. Two of the three candidates faced each other on Sunday night, when one beat the other. And although there is a change in the top as a result, neither is our new No. 1.

Carson Wentz has been at the top of our poll since we started mid-season, but Tom Brady has been right behind he. all the time. And although it was Russell Wilson who helped end Wentz's winning streak, he was not the one to overtake the Eagles quarterback to get the top spot in our poll.

With four weeks to play, the MVP leader is a guy who has won it twice before. Can Brady wait? Is it fair to take it from Wentz after a week of inactivity? And what closing distance do the Seahawks need in qualifying to put Wilson in the lead with everything he does for them?

These and other questions are discussed in some detail in this week's edition of our MVP survey. 1

9659002] Methodology: Our panel of 12 experts nominated their five main candidates. The first place votes are worth five points, the second place votes are worth four, the third place votes are worth three, the votes of the fourth place are worth two and the votes of the fifth place are worth one. The first five finishers are highlighted in the following graph. The complete results can be found at the bottom.

TOP FIVE

Approval of the regular season: 300-for-438 (68.5 percent); 3,632 yards; 26 TDs; 4 INT; 74.1 Total QBR

Brady's case: The Patriots' 10-2 record is tied with Philadelphia and Minnesota as the best in the league, and as we keep saying here, the quarterback in the team with the best record is always a candidate for MVP. Brady leads the league in passing yards by 330 and ranks second in yards per attempt, fourth in QBR, second in percentage of completions and second in touchdown passes with 26 to just four interceptions. We may never know what he was screaming at offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels on the sideline last week, but we know that Brady is unstoppable even at 40.

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The case against Brady: Well, Wentz has Brady on touchdown passes and QBR, but not by much. And as we will see later, Wilson assumes more offensive load of his team than any player in the league. But those are the cases for those types. There is no real case against Brady at this time.

Regular season pass: 242-for-399 (60.7 percent); 3,005 yards; 29 TDs; 6 INT; 73.6 Total QBR

The Wentz case: The Eagles also have a 10-2 mark, and Wentz has more touchdown passes (for three) and a QBR a little higher than Brady . Even in Sunday night's loss, Wentz managed to show flashes of what made him so incredible. He is completing 66.4 percent of his passes on third down for a league average of 9.48 yards per attempt, 12 touchdowns and two interceptions. Dominating third and keeping the units alive is a way to tear the hearts of opponents. Wentz can do it with his arms or legs, and he knows when to do which one.

The case against Wentz: Many of the numbers on the top line of Wentz are simply not elite. He is 26th in percentage of completions, 10th in yards by air and 10th in yards per attempt. This is obviously fussy, but we are talking about the top end of a very busy MVP field. When many boys play this well, the only way to solve them is to criticize. Wentz received two of the first four votes that Brady did not receive this week, plus five votes in second place and five thirds.

Regular season pass: 276-of-442 (62.4 percent); 3,256 yards; 26 TDs; 8 INT; 62.8 Total QBR

Wilson's case: Did you see Sunday night? Wilson does everything. Running back Mike Davis had 64 yards on 16 carries, which qualifies as a monster day for a Seahawks runner in 2017. Wilson leads his team in yards for 224 yards and ranks sixth in the league in passing yards . With no line, no career and a defense that is losing guys for injuries every week, Wilson is probably, by strict definition of the word, valuable like any player in the league this year. [19659002] The case against Wilson: Seattle's record of 8-4 is fine, but it's two games worse than New England, Philadelphia and Minnesota, and a game worse than the Rams' record in the division itself. the Seahawks. Seattle is fighting for a place in the playoffs, and players on teams that are not in the playoffs do not tend to win this prize. It says all about Wilson's performance so far that he has two votes in the first place, four seconds and five thirds in this week's poll. It has an arrow up.

Regular season pass: 291-for-407 (71.5 percent); 3,298 yards; 17 TDs; 5 INT; 58.8 Total QBR

The Brees Case: Leading the league in percentage of completions in 71.5 while also occupying the fourth place in yards per attempt with 8.10. To put that in perspective: Minnesota's Sam Bradford set the NFL record last year for a season-ending percentage of 71.6, and averaged just 7,042 yards per attempt.

The case against Brees: Is he even the most valuable player on his own team? You could defend runners Mark Ingram or Alvin Kamara, or cornerback Marshon Lattimore. Brees is not doing anything wrong, and is playing the most important position in one of the best teams in the league. But he ranks 11th in QBR and 17th in touchdown passes. Are those numbers of the MVP caliber?

Regular season pass: 243-for-360 (67.5 percent); 2,703 yards; 16 TDs; 5 INT; 77.2 Total QBR

Keenum's case: Well, it would be difficult to put the quarterbacks of the other two 10-2 teams here and not Keenum, would not it? Keenum is eighth in the passer rating, fifth in percentage of completions and second in QBR, just behind the injured Deshaun Watson. It did not start the first game of the season because the Vikings planned to go with Bradford. But he has performed brilliantly and kept the return of Teddy Bridgewater afloat in the first round.

The case against Keenum: Again, statistics. Keenum is just 14th in passing yards, 16th in touchdown passes and 12th in yards per attempt, not elite numbers at the height of what Brady and Wentz are doing. That does not take anything away from the success of Keenum or the Vikings, and it could be that they need less from their quarterback than, say, the Seahawks of their own. But this is an MVP race, and a good one, and the Keenum numbers just do not pile up.


TOTAL RESULTS


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